Adelaide United 47%Draw 22%Wellington Phoenix 31%Expected goals 1.56 – 1.49
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Wellington Phoenix to win @ 3.70 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAdelaide United to win ✗47% · @1.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67
Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Wellington Phoenix travel to face Adelaide United on Friday 6 March in the A League, with Coopers Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 09:35 WAT. In the table, Adelaide United are 12th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 3 matches; Wellington Phoenix are 1st (leading the league) with 10.
Current form
Adelaide United, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Melbourne Victory, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Wellington Phoenix, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sydney, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Adelaide United, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.3 for Wellington Phoenix.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Adelaide United 1.6 xG, Wellington Phoenix 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Adelaide United 47%, draw 22%, Wellington Phoenix 31%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: Wellington Phoenix to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Adelaide United 1–1 Wellington Phoenix. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Adelaide United47%fair 2.14 · @1.77
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @4.20
Wellington Phoenix31%fair 3.24 · @3.70
3.05Expected goals
1.56Adelaide United xG
1.49Wellington Phoenix xG
66%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Adelaide United 1.6 – 1.5 Wellington Phoenix expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Adelaide United to win✗
47%
2.14
1.77
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.48
Draw no bet
Adelaide United (draw no bet)
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Wellington Phoenix +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
First team to score
Adelaide United to score first✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Adelaide United / FT Adelaide United✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.67
–
Recent results
Adelaide United – last 3
DWW
27 Feb
@ Melbourne Victory
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Perth Glory
4–0
W
14 Feb
@ Sydney
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Wellington Phoenix – last 3
LLD
1 Mar
vs Sydney
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Auckland
0–5
L
13 Feb
@ Western Sydney Wanderers
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix.
What is the prediction for Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix?
On our numbers Adelaide United have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Wellington Phoenix 31%.
How many goals will there be in Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix?
Our predicted score is Adelaide United 1–1 Wellington Phoenix, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix?
Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix (A League) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 09:35 (West Africa Time) at Coopers Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
