Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultWellington Phoenix to win ✓44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.79
Wellington Phoenix vs Perth Glory: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
03:00 WAT, Saturday 14 March: Wellington Phoenix v Perth Glory in the A League, played at Sky Stadium. In the table, Wellington Phoenix are 1st, leading the league, on 10 points after 4 matches; Perth Glory are 5th (upper half) with 6.
Current form
Wellington Phoenix, last 4: DLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Adelaide United, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Perth Glory, last 4: DDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Auckland, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wellington Phoenix 1.5 xG, Perth Glory 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wellington Phoenix 44%, draw 26%, Perth Glory 30%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wellington Phoenix 1–1 Perth Glory. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wellington Phoenix44%fair 2.29 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.30
Perth Glory30%fair 3.31 · @2.88
2.66Expected goals
1.53Wellington Phoenix xG
1.13Perth Glory xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Wellington Phoenix 1.5 – 1.1 Perth Glory expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wellington Phoenix to win✓
44%
2.29
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.57
Draw no bet
Wellington Phoenix (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Perth Glory +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Wellington Phoenix to score first✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wellington Phoenix / FT Wellington Phoenix✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.79
–
Recent results
Wellington Phoenix – last 4
DLLD
6 Mar
@ Adelaide United
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Sydney
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Auckland
0–5
L
13 Feb
@ Western Sydney Wanderers
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Perth Glory – last 4
DDLL
8 Mar
@ Auckland
2–2
D
28 Feb
@ Brisbane Roar
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Adelaide United
0–4
L
13 Feb
vs Newcastle Jets
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wellington Phoenix and Perth Glory.
What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix vs Perth Glory?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Wellington Phoenix vs Perth Glory?
On our numbers Wellington Phoenix have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Perth Glory 30%.
How many goals will there be in Wellington Phoenix vs Perth Glory?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wellington Phoenix vs Perth Glory?
Our predicted score is Wellington Phoenix 1–1 Perth Glory, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Wellington Phoenix vs Perth Glory?
Wellington Phoenix vs Perth Glory (A League) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Sky Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
