Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
08:00 WAT, Saturday 11 April: Newcastle Jets v Adelaide United in the A League, played at McDonald Jones Stadium. In the table, Newcastle Jets are 10th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 4 matches; Adelaide United are 12th (in the drop zone) with 1. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Newcastle Jets, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Macarthur, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Adelaide United, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Auckland, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newcastle Jets 1.9 xG, Adelaide United 1.9 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 72% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newcastle Jets 41%, draw 20%, Adelaide United 38%.
GG/NG: GG (72%) at 1.28.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newcastle Jets 1–2 Adelaide United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newcastle Jets41%fair 2.41 · @2.12
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @4.20
Adelaide United38%fair 2.63 · @2.78
3.79Expected goals
1.89Newcastle Jets xG
1.90Adelaide United xG
72%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–18%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
3–15%
From our goals model: Newcastle Jets 1.9 – 1.9 Adelaide United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newcastle Jets to win✗
41%
2.41
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Draw no bet
Newcastle Jets (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Newcastle Jets +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.48
First team to score
Adelaide United to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
34%
2.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Adelaide United / FT Adelaide United✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.03
–
Recent results
Newcastle Jets – last 6
LWLWDW
2 Apr
@ Macarthur
2–3
L
22 Mar
@ Sydney
2–1
W
14 Mar
vs Auckland
1–2
L
7 Mar
vs Western Sydney Wanderers
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ Central Coast Mariners
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Macarthur
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Adelaide United – last 6
DWDDDW
3 Apr
vs Auckland
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Western Sydney Wanderers
4–2
W
14 Mar
@ Central Coast Mariners
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Wellington Phoenix
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Melbourne Victory
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Perth Glory
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle Jets and Adelaide United.
What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United?
On our numbers Newcastle Jets have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Adelaide United 38%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United?
Our predicted score is Newcastle Jets 1–2 Adelaide United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United?
Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United (A League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at McDonald Jones Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
