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Newcastle Jets v Central Coast Mariners: numbers & prediction

A League · Australia · McDonald Jones Stadium
Newcastle Jets 57%Draw 20%Central Coast Mariners 22% Expected goals 2.15 – 1.50
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultNewcastle Jets to win ✓57% · @1.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.38
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11

Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

08:00 WAT, Saturday 25 April: Newcastle Jets v Central Coast Mariners in the A League, played at McDonald Jones Stadium. In the table, Newcastle Jets are 10th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 4 matches; Central Coast Mariners are 11th (in the drop zone) with 2. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Newcastle Jets, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Melbourne Victory, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Central Coast Mariners, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Auckland, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Feb 2026) it ended Central Coast Mariners 0–0 Newcastle Jets.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Newcastle Jets 2.2 xG, Central Coast Mariners 1.5 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Newcastle Jets 57%, draw 20%, Central Coast Mariners 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.38.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newcastle Jets 2–1 Central Coast Mariners. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Newcastle Jets57%fair 1.74 · @1.48
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @4.90
Central Coast Mariners22%fair 4.47 · @5.20
3.65Expected goals
2.15Newcastle Jets xG
1.50Central Coast Mariners xG
66%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
2–27%
3–16%
1–26%
2–06%

From our goals model: Newcastle Jets 2.2 – 1.5 Central Coast Mariners expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNewcastle Jets to win ✓57%1.741.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗66%1.511.38
Draw no betNewcastle Jets (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapCentral Coast Mariners +1 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.141.07
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72%1.391.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓52%1.911.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓67%1.501.48
First team to scoreNewcastle Jets to score first ✓57%1.74–
Half-time resultNewcastle Jets ahead at half-time ✓41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Newcastle Jets / FT Newcastle Jets ✓33%3.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.11–

Recent results

Newcastle Jets – last 6

DDLWLW
17 Apr@ Melbourne Victory2–2D
11 Aprvs Adelaide United1–1D
2 Apr@ Macarthur2–3L
22 Mar@ Sydney2–1W
14 Marvs Auckland1–2L
7 Marvs Western Sydney Wanderers2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Central Coast Mariners – last 6

WDLDLD
19 Apr@ Auckland1–0W
10 Aprvs Brisbane Roar2–2D
7 Apr@ Melbourne City1–2L
4 Aprvs Perth Glory2–2D
21 Mar@ Melbourne Victory1–4L
14 Marvs Adelaide United1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Feb 2026Central Coast Mariners v Newcastle Jets0–0
Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners head-to-head page →

A League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Wellington Phoenix4310+610
2Sydney4211+37
3Brisbane Roar3210+27
4Melbourne City421107
5Perth Glory4202+36
6Western Sydney Wanderers4121+25
7Macarthur412105
8Auckland4121-15
9Melbourne Victory4031-13
10Newcastle Jets4022-42
11Central Coast Mariners4022-52
12Adelaide United3012-51

More A League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners?

On our numbers Newcastle Jets have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Central Coast Mariners 22%.

How many goals will there be in Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners?

Our predicted score is Newcastle Jets 2–1 Central Coast Mariners, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners?

Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners (A League) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at McDonald Jones Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.