Mathare United 32%Draw 31%Tusker 37%Expected goals 0.88 – 0.97
54%
Betarazi pick
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.55
4/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultTusker to win37% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win69% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals72% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–115% · fair 6.54
Mathare United vs Tusker: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tusker travel to face Mathare United on Saturday 14 February in the FKF Premier League, with Moi International Sports Centre the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Mathare United are 16th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 6 matches; Tusker are 11th (lower half) with 6. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mathare United 0.9 xG, Tusker 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mathare United 32%, draw 31%, Tusker 37%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mathare United 0–0 Tusker. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mathare United32%fair 3.15 · @2.70
Draw31%fair 3.18 · @2.50
Tusker37%fair 2.72 · @2.70
1.85Expected goals
0.88Mathare United xG
0.97Tusker xG
46%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–016%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Mathare United 0.9 – 1.0 Tusker expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mathare United
Tusker
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-18%
+9%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
-4%
Our expected goals here
0.93
1.03
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tusker to win
37%
2.72
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win
69%
1.46
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
54%
1.87
1.55
Draw no bet
Tusker (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Mathare United +0.5 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Tusker to score first
44%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
15%
6.54
–
Recent results
Mathare United
No recent results on record.
Tusker
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mathare United and Tusker.
What is the prediction for Mathare United vs Tusker?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Mathare United vs Tusker?
On our numbers Mathare United have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Tusker 37%.
How many goals will there be in Mathare United vs Tusker?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mathare United vs Tusker?
Our predicted score is Mathare United 0–0 Tusker, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Mathare United vs Tusker?
Mathare United vs Tusker (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Moi International Sports Centre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
