Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓68% · fair 1.46
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗53% · @2.05
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.56
Police vs Bandari: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 1 March: Police v Bandari in the FKF Premier League, played at Police Sacco Stadium.
Current form
Police, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sofapaka, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Bandari, last 3: DWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Nairobi United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Police 0.8 xG, Bandari 0.5 xG – a total near 1.3. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 86% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Police 41%, draw 34%, Bandari 24%.
Lower-risk option: Police or draw (76%) at 1.18.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 1.5 goals (53%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.87, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Police 0–0 Bandari. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Police41%fair 2.42 · @2.05
Draw34%fair 2.91 · @2.75
Bandari24%fair 4.12 · @3.70
1.29Expected goals
0.79Police xG
0.49Bandari xG
32%Both score
14%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–028%
1–022%
0–114%
1–111%
2–09%
2–14%
From our goals model: Police 0.8 – 0.5 Bandari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Police
Bandari
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-13%
-30%
Goals conceded vs average
-33%
-30%
Our expected goals here
0.71
0.41
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Police to win✓
41%
2.42
2.05
Double chance
Police or draw✓
76%
1.32
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
68%
1.46
–
Draw no bet
Police (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Bandari +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
2.05 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
First team to score
Police to score first✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.56
–
Recent results
Police – last 3
WDD
26 Feb
@ Sofapaka
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs APS Bomet
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Ulinzi Stars
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Bandari – last 3
DWD
25 Feb
vs Nairobi United
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Murang'a SEAL
3–2
W
14 Feb
vs AFC Leopards
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Police and Bandari.
Our pick is Under 1.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Police vs Bandari?
On our numbers Police have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Bandari 24%.
How many goals will there be in Police vs Bandari?
We expect about 1.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 14% likely and both teams score 32% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Police vs Bandari?
Our predicted score is Police 0–0 Bandari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.3 goals in total.
When is Police vs Bandari?
Police vs Bandari (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Police Sacco Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
