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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nairobi United v KCB: numbers & prediction

FKF Premier League · Kenya · Nyayo National Stadium
1–1
FT

KCB

WLD
Nairobi United 45%Draw 23%KCB 32% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.00
81%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultNairobi United to win ✗45% · fair 2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · fair 1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.60

Nairobi United vs KCB: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nairobi United welcome KCB to Nyayo National Stadium for a FKF Premier League fixture on Wednesday 4 March (13:00 WAT). In the table, Nairobi United are 15th, lower half, on 5 points after 6 matches; KCB are 2nd (among the top four) with 13.

Current form

Nairobi United, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bandari, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

KCB, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over AFC Leopards, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nairobi United 1.2 xG, KCB 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nairobi United 45%, draw 23%, KCB 32%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nairobi United 1–1 KCB. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nairobi United45%fair 2.22
Draw23%fair 4.30
KCB32%fair 3.16
2.25Expected goals
1.25Nairobi United xG
1.00KCB xG
46%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Nairobi United 1.2 – 1.0 KCB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Nairobi UnitedKCB
Attack vs FKF Premier League average+18%+18%
Goals conceded vs average-0%-10%
Our expected goals here1.251.04

Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNairobi United to win ✗45%2.22–
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.30–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.84–
Draw no betNairobi United (draw no bet)59%1.70–
Asian handicapKCB +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreNairobi United to score first50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nairobi United / FT Nairobi United ✗24%4.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.60–

Recent results

Nairobi United – last 3

DWL
25 Feb@ Bandari1–1D
21 Febvs Bidco United3–0W
15 Feb@ Maniema Union0–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

KCB – last 3

WLD
26 Febvs AFC Leopards1–0W
22 Feb@ GOR Mahia0–3L
15 Febvs Kariobangi Sharks1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nairobi United and KCB.

Nairobi United vs KCB head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nairobi United vs KCB?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance.

Who will win Nairobi United vs KCB?

On our numbers Nairobi United have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and KCB 32%.

How many goals will there be in Nairobi United vs KCB?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nairobi United vs KCB?

Our predicted score is Nairobi United 1–1 KCB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Nairobi United vs KCB?

Nairobi United vs KCB (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Nyayo National Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.