Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultHomeboyz to win ✓48% · @1.64
Double chanceHomeboyz or draw ✓78% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.69
Homeboyz vs APS Bomet: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 2 March the FKF Premier League brings Homeboyz against APS Bomet at Bukhungu Stadium. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Homeboyz are 17th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 5 matches; APS Bomet are 13th (lower half) with 6. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Homeboyz, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ulinzi Stars, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
APS Bomet, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kariobangi Sharks, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Homeboyz, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.3 for APS Bomet.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Homeboyz 1.1 xG, APS Bomet 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Homeboyz 48%, draw 30%, APS Bomet 22%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Homeboyz 1–0 APS Bomet. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Homeboyz48%fair 2.07 · @1.64
Draw30%fair 3.37 · @3.10
APS Bomet22%fair 4.55 · @5.25
2.03Expected goals
1.14Homeboyz xG
0.89APS Bomet xG
44%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Homeboyz 1.1 – 0.9 APS Bomet expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Homeboyz
APS Bomet
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
+2%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
-41%
Our expected goals here
0.71
0.83
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Homeboyz to win✓
48%
2.07
1.64
Double chance
Homeboyz or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Homeboyz (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
APS Bomet +1 (Asian handicap)
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Homeboyz to score first✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Homeboyz / FT Homeboyz✓
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.69
–
Recent results
Homeboyz – last 3
DWW
26 Feb
@ Ulinzi Stars
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Sofapaka
2–0
W
13 Feb
@ Bidco United
4–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
APS Bomet – last 3
LDL
26 Feb
vs Kariobangi Sharks
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Police
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs GOR Mahia
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Homeboyz and APS Bomet.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Homeboyz vs APS Bomet?
On our numbers Homeboyz have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 30% and APS Bomet 22%.
How many goals will there be in Homeboyz vs APS Bomet?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Homeboyz vs APS Bomet?
Our predicted score is Homeboyz 1–0 APS Bomet, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Homeboyz vs APS Bomet?
Homeboyz vs APS Bomet (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Bukhungu Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
