Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.69
Mathare United vs Shabana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mathare United welcome Shabana to Moi International Sports Centre for a FKF Premier League fixture on Wednesday 25 February (14:15 WAT). In the table, Mathare United are 16th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 6 matches; Shabana are 5th (upper half) with 9.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mathare United 0.9 xG, Shabana 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mathare United 31%, draw 31%, Shabana 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mathare United 0–0 Shabana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mathare United31%fair 3.20 · @3.25
Draw31%fair 3.27 · @2.90
Shabana38%fair 2.62 · @2.15
1.86Expected goals
0.90Mathare United xG
0.96Shabana xG
40%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–016%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%
From our goals model: Mathare United 0.9 – 1.0 Shabana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mathare United
Shabana
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-18%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
-11%
Our expected goals here
0.86
0.82
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shabana to win✓
38%
2.62
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
69%
1.44
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
–
Draw no bet
Shabana (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Mathare United +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Shabana to score first✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
15%
6.69
–
Recent results
Mathare United – last 1
D
21 Feb
@ Kariobangi Sharks
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Shabana – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Tusker
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mathare United and Shabana.
What is the prediction for Mathare United vs Shabana?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Mathare United vs Shabana?
On our numbers Mathare United have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Shabana 38%.
How many goals will there be in Mathare United vs Shabana?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mathare United vs Shabana?
Our predicted score is Mathare United 0–0 Shabana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Mathare United vs Shabana?
Mathare United vs Shabana (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Moi International Sports Centre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
