Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.53
Shabana vs Tusker: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 February the FKF Premier League brings Shabana against Tusker at Gusii Stadium. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Shabana are 5th, upper half, on 9 points after 6 matches; Tusker are 11th (lower half) with 6. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shabana 1.1 xG, Tusker 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shabana 41%, draw 30%, Tusker 29%.
Lower-risk option: Shabana or draw (71%) at 1.20.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Shabana or draw (71%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shabana 1–0 Tusker. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shabana41%fair 2.44 · @2.15
Draw30%fair 3.32 · @2.85
Tusker29%fair 3.47 · @3.35
1.94Expected goals
1.06Shabana xG
0.88Tusker xG
43%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Shabana 1.1 – 0.9 Tusker expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Shabana
Tusker
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-14%
+9%
Goals conceded vs average
-11%
-4%
Our expected goals here
0.97
0.86
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shabana to win✓
41%
2.44
2.15
Double chance
Shabana or draw✓
71%
1.41
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Draw no bet
Shabana (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Tusker +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Shabana to score first✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.53
–
Recent results
Shabana
No recent results on record.
Tusker
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shabana and Tusker.
Our pick is Shabana or draw with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Shabana vs Tusker?
On our numbers Shabana have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Tusker 29%.
How many goals will there be in Shabana vs Tusker?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shabana vs Tusker?
Our predicted score is Shabana 1–0 Tusker, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Shabana vs Tusker?
Shabana vs Tusker (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Gusii Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
