Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.32
Mathare United vs Police: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 14 April the FKF Premier League brings Mathare United against Police at Moi International Sports Centre. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT.
Current form
Mathare United, last 4: LDLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Homeboyz, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Police, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tusker, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Police, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Mathare United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mathare United 0.7 xG, Police 0.9 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 79%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mathare United 26%, draw 33%, Police 41%.
Lower-risk option: Police or draw (74%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Police or draw (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mathare United 0–0 Police. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mathare United26%fair 3.88 · @3.40
Draw33%fair 3.03 · @2.62
Police41%fair 2.43 · @2.20
1.57Expected goals
0.67Mathare United xG
0.91Police xG
46%Both score
21%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–021%
0–119%
1–014%
1–113%
0–29%
1–26%
From our goals model: Mathare United 0.7 – 0.9 Police expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mathare United
Police
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-18%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
-33%
Our expected goals here
0.65
0.83
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Police to win✗
41%
2.43
2.20
Double chance
Police or draw✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.60
Draw no bet
Police (draw no bet)
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Mathare United +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Police to score first✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.32
–
Recent results
Mathare United – last 4
LDLD
4 Apr
@ Homeboyz
0–3
L
22 Mar
@ Murang'a SEAL
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Shabana
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Kariobangi Sharks
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Police – last 6
WLWWDD
3 Apr
vs Tusker
1–0
W
13 Mar
@ Posta Rangers FC
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Bandari
2–0
W
26 Feb
@ Sofapaka
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs APS Bomet
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Ulinzi Stars
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mathare United and Police.
What is the prediction for Mathare United vs Police?
Our pick is Police or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mathare United vs Police?
On our numbers Mathare United have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Police 41%.
How many goals will there be in Mathare United vs Police?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 21% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mathare United vs Police?
Our predicted score is Mathare United 0–0 Police, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Mathare United vs Police?
Mathare United vs Police (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Moi International Sports Centre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
