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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sofapaka v Bandari: numbers & prediction

FKF Premier League · Kenya · Kasarani Annex Stadium
0–0
FT

Bandari

WDDLD
Sofapaka 22%Draw 28%Bandari 49% Expected goals 0.60 – 1.02
92%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.09 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultBandari to win ✗49% · fair 2.02
Double chanceBandari or draw ✓78% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.58
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 4.98

Sofapaka vs Bandari: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sofapaka welcome Bandari to Kasarani Annex Stadium for a FKF Premier League fixture on Friday 3 April (12:00 WAT).

Current form

Sofapaka, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ulinzi Stars, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Bandari, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bidco United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Bandari, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Sofapaka.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sofapaka 0.6 xG, Bandari 1.0 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 78% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sofapaka 22%, draw 28%, Bandari 49%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (92%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sofapaka 0–1 Bandari. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sofapaka22%fair 4.49
Draw28%fair 3.54
Bandari49%fair 2.02
1.63Expected goals
0.60Sofapaka xG
1.02Bandari xG
37%Both score
22%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–120%
0–020%
1–112%
1–012%
0–210%
1–26%

From our goals model: Sofapaka 0.6 – 1.0 Bandari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

SofapakaBandari
Attack vs FKF Premier League average-24%-30%
Goals conceded vs average+49%-30%
Our expected goals here0.630.92

Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBandari to win ✗49%2.02–
Double chanceBandari or draw ✓78%1.29–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓63%1.58–
Draw no betBandari (draw no bet)69%1.45–
Asian handicapSofapaka +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓52%1.94–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreBandari to score first ✗50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓55%1.82–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓27%3.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20%4.98–

Recent results

Sofapaka – last 6

LDLLLL
29 Mar@ Ulinzi Stars0–2L
21 Mar@ Bidco United0–0D
14 Marvs Nairobi United0–1L
2 Mar@ Mara Sugar1–3L
26 Febvs Police0–2L
20 Feb@ Homeboyz0–2L
0.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Bandari – last 6

WDDLDW
28 Marvs Bidco United1–0W
22 Mar@ Homeboyz1–1D
14 Marvs Mara Sugar0–0D
1 Mar@ Police0–2L
25 Febvs Nairobi United1–1D
21 Feb@ Murang'a SEAL3–2W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sofapaka and Bandari.

Sofapaka vs Bandari head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sofapaka vs Bandari?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 92% chance.

Who will win Sofapaka vs Bandari?

On our numbers Sofapaka have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Bandari 49%.

How many goals will there be in Sofapaka vs Bandari?

We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sofapaka vs Bandari?

Our predicted score is Sofapaka 0–1 Bandari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.

When is Sofapaka vs Bandari?

Sofapaka vs Bandari (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Kasarani Annex Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.