GOR Mahia 48%Draw 28%Bandari 24%Expected goals 1.06 – 0.59
91%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.09 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultGOR Mahia to win ✗48% · fair 2.09
Double chanceGOR Mahia or draw ✓76% · fair 1.32
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.91
GOR Mahia vs Bandari: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bandari travel to face GOR Mahia on Sunday 19 April in the FKF Premier League, with Moi International Sports Centre the venue – the ball rolls at 14:15 WAT. In the table, GOR Mahia are 1st, leading the league, on 13 points after 6 matches; Bandari are 9th (upper half) with 7.
Current form
GOR Mahia, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tusker, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Bandari, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sofapaka, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours GOR Mahia, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Bandari.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give GOR Mahia 1.1 xG, Bandari 0.6 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 77% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – GOR Mahia 48%, draw 28%, Bandari 24%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (91%). Most likely score in line with that pick: GOR Mahia 1–0 Bandari. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
GOR Mahia48%fair 2.09
Draw28%fair 3.54
Bandari24%fair 4.17
1.65Expected goals
1.06GOR Mahia xG
0.59Bandari xG
39%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
0–019%
1–112%
0–111%
2–011%
2–16%
From our goals model: GOR Mahia 1.1 – 0.6 Bandari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
GOR Mahia
Bandari
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
+20%
-30%
Goals conceded vs average
-20%
-30%
Our expected goals here
0.98
0.49
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GOR Mahia to win✗
48%
2.09
–
Double chance
GOR Mahia or draw✓
76%
1.32
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
–
Draw no bet
GOR Mahia (draw no bet)
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Bandari +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
GOR Mahia to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GOR Mahia / FT GOR Mahia✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
4.91
–
Recent results
GOR Mahia – last 6
LDWDWW
14 Apr
@ Tusker
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Kariobangi Sharks
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Ulinzi Stars
3–1
W
5 Mar
@ Posta Rangers FC
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs KCB
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ APS Bomet
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bandari – last 6
DWDDLD
3 Apr
@ Sofapaka
0–0
D
28 Mar
vs Bidco United
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Homeboyz
1–1
D
14 Mar
vs Mara Sugar
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Police
0–2
L
25 Feb
vs Nairobi United
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GOR Mahia and Bandari.
On our numbers GOR Mahia have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Bandari 24%.
How many goals will there be in GOR Mahia vs Bandari?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GOR Mahia vs Bandari?
Our predicted score is GOR Mahia 1–0 Bandari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is GOR Mahia vs Bandari?
GOR Mahia vs Bandari (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Moi International Sports Centre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
