Police 55%Draw 22%Murang'a SEAL 23%Expected goals 1.39 – 0.81
82%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultPolice to win ✓55% · fair 1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.51
Police vs Murang'a SEAL: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 6 May the FKF Premier League brings Police against Murang'a SEAL at Police Sacco Stadium. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT.
Current form
Police, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Shabana, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Murang'a SEAL, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Nairobi United, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Police, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Murang'a SEAL.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Police 1.4 xG, Murang'a SEAL 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 41%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Police 55%, draw 22%, Murang'a SEAL 23%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (82%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Police 1–0 Murang'a SEAL. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Police55%fair 1.83
Draw22%fair 4.52
Murang'a SEAL23%fair 4.28
2.20Expected goals
1.39Police xG
0.81Murang'a SEAL xG
41%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
0–011%
2–011%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Police 1.4 – 0.8 Murang'a SEAL expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Police
Murang'a SEAL
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-13%
+58%
Goals conceded vs average
-33%
+42%
Our expected goals here
1.46
0.93
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Police to win✓
55%
1.83
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
–
Draw no bet
Police (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Murang'a SEAL +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Police to score first
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Police / FT Police✗
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.51
–
Recent results
Police – last 6
WDWLWW
2 May
@ Shabana
1–0
W
14 Apr
@ Mathare United
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Tusker
1–0
W
13 Mar
@ Posta Rangers FC
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Bandari
2–0
W
26 Feb
@ Sofapaka
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Murang'a SEAL – last 6
LLLDDW
19 Apr
vs Nairobi United
2–4
L
5 Apr
vs AFC Leopards
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Shabana
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Mathare United
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ KCB
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Posta Rangers FC
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Police and Murang'a SEAL.
What is the prediction for Police vs Murang'a SEAL?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance.
Who will win Police vs Murang'a SEAL?
On our numbers Police have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Murang'a SEAL 23%.
How many goals will there be in Police vs Murang'a SEAL?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Police vs Murang'a SEAL?
Our predicted score is Police 1–0 Murang'a SEAL, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Police vs Murang'a SEAL?
Police vs Murang'a SEAL (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Police Sacco Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
