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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ulinzi Stars v AFC Leopards: numbers & prediction

FKF Premier League · Kenya · Ulinzi Sports Complex
0–2
FT
Ulinzi Stars 27%Draw 33%AFC Leopards 40% Expected goals 0.70 – 0.94
73%
Betarazi pick

AFC Leopards or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultAFC Leopards to win ✓40% · @2.15
Double chanceAFC Leopards or draw ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.51

Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ulinzi Stars welcome AFC Leopards to Ulinzi Sports Complex for a FKF Premier League fixture on Wednesday 13 May (14:00 WAT). In the table, Ulinzi Stars are 14th, lower half, on 6 points after 6 matches; AFC Leopards are 3rd (among the top four) with 10.

Current form

Ulinzi Stars, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Shabana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

AFC Leopards, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to GOR Mahia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours AFC Leopards, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Ulinzi Stars.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ulinzi Stars 0.7 xG, AFC Leopards 0.9 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 77%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ulinzi Stars 27%, draw 33%, AFC Leopards 40%.
  • Lower-risk option: AFC Leopards or draw (73%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was AFC Leopards or draw (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ulinzi Stars 0–0 AFC Leopards. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ulinzi Stars27%fair 3.71 · @3.40
Draw33%fair 3.04 · @2.80
AFC Leopards40%fair 2.49 · @2.15
1.65Expected goals
0.70Ulinzi Stars xG
0.94AFC Leopards xG
48%Both score
23%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–019%
0–118%
1–014%
1–113%
0–29%
1–26%

From our goals model: Ulinzi Stars 0.7 – 0.9 AFC Leopards expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Ulinzi StarsAFC Leopards
Attack vs FKF Premier League average-11%-12%
Goals conceded vs average-2%-46%
Our expected goals here0.570.76

Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAFC Leopards to win ✓40%2.492.15
Double chanceAFC Leopards or draw ✓73%1.371.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.931.55
Draw no betAFC Leopards (draw no bet) ✓60%1.67–
Asian handicapUlinzi Stars +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗51%1.96–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓91%1.09–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreAFC Leopards to score first ✓46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗55%1.82–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗27%3.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18%5.51–

Recent results

Ulinzi Stars – last 6

DLLWWL
9 May@ Shabana0–0D
3 Mayvs Tusker1–2L
4 Aprvs APS Bomet0–1L
29 Marvs Sofapaka2–0W
22 Mar@ Nairobi United2–1W
15 Marvs GOR Mahia1–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

AFC Leopards – last 6

LWWWWW
26 Aprvs GOR Mahia0–1L
5 Apr@ Murang'a SEAL2–0W
29 Marvs Kariobangi Sharks1–0W
22 Marvs Tusker1–0W
18 Marvs Nairobi United1–0W
1 Marvs Shabana5–1W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ulinzi Stars and AFC Leopards.

Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards?

Our pick is AFC Leopards or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards?

On our numbers Ulinzi Stars have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 33% and AFC Leopards 40%.

How many goals will there be in Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards?

We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards?

Our predicted score is Ulinzi Stars 0–0 AFC Leopards, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.

When is Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards?

Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Ulinzi Sports Complex.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.