Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.91
APS Bomet vs KCB: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
KCB travel to face APS Bomet on Wednesday 6 May in the FKF Premier League – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, APS Bomet are 13th, lower half, on 6 points after 6 matches; KCB are 2nd (among the top four) with 13.
Current form
APS Bomet, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sofapaka, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
KCB, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Nairobi United, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give APS Bomet 1.0 xG, KCB 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – APS Bomet 40%, draw 28%, KCB 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (89%). Most likely score in line with that pick: APS Bomet 1–0 KCB. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
APS Bomet40%fair 2.49
Draw28%fair 3.57
KCB32%fair 3.15
1.80Expected goals
1.03APS Bomet xG
0.78KCB xG
39%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–017%
1–113%
0–113%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: APS Bomet 1.0 – 0.8 KCB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
APS Bomet
KCB
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-10%
+18%
Goals conceded vs average
-41%
-10%
Our expected goals here
0.95
0.61
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
APS Bomet to win✓
40%
2.49
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
–
Draw no bet
APS Bomet (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
KCB +1 (Asian handicap)
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
APS Bomet to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
5.91
–
Recent results
APS Bomet – last 6
WWWDDD
26 Apr
vs Sofapaka
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Posta Rangers FC
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ Ulinzi Stars
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Nairobi United
0–0
D
21 Mar
@ Mara Sugar
0–0
D
14 Mar
vs Bidco United
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
KCB – last 6
WDWWDD
3 May
@ Nairobi United
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Homeboyz
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Bidco United
1–0
W
28 Mar
vs Mara Sugar
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Murang'a SEAL
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Nairobi United
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between APS Bomet and KCB.
On our numbers APS Bomet have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and KCB 32%.
How many goals will there be in APS Bomet vs KCB?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for APS Bomet vs KCB?
Our predicted score is APS Bomet 1–0 KCB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is APS Bomet vs KCB?
APS Bomet vs KCB (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
