Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.07
KCB vs Homeboyz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 April the FKF Premier League brings KCB against Homeboyz. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, KCB are 2nd, among the top four, on 13 points after 6 matches; Homeboyz are 17th (in the drop zone) with 5.
Current form
KCB, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bidco United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Homeboyz, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Nairobi United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give KCB 1.4 xG, Homeboyz 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – KCB 48%, draw 22%, Homeboyz 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%). Most likely score in line with that pick: KCB 1–0 Homeboyz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
KCB48%fair 2.07
Draw22%fair 4.45
Homeboyz29%fair 3.42
2.28Expected goals
1.38KCB xG
0.90Homeboyz xG
45%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: KCB 1.4 – 0.9 Homeboyz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
KCB
Homeboyz
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
+18%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
+4%
Our expected goals here
1.44
0.81
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KCB to win✗
48%
2.07
–
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
KCB (draw no bet)
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Homeboyz +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
KCB to score first✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KCB / FT KCB✗
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.07
–
Recent results
KCB – last 6
WWDDWL
5 Apr
@ Bidco United
1–0
W
28 Mar
vs Mara Sugar
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Murang'a SEAL
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Nairobi United
1–1
D
26 Feb
vs AFC Leopards
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ GOR Mahia
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Homeboyz – last 6
DWWDLW
8 Apr
@ Nairobi United
2–2
D
4 Apr
vs Mathare United
3–0
W
28 Mar
@ Posta Rangers FC
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Bandari
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Tusker
0–2
L
2 Mar
vs APS Bomet
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KCB and Homeboyz.
On our numbers KCB have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Homeboyz 29%.
How many goals will there be in KCB vs Homeboyz?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KCB vs Homeboyz?
Our predicted score is KCB 1–0 Homeboyz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is KCB vs Homeboyz?
KCB vs Homeboyz (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
