Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.58
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21% · fair 4.83
APS Bomet vs Sofapaka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
APS Bomet welcome Sofapaka for a FKF Premier League fixture on Sunday 26 April (12:00 WAT).
Current form
APS Bomet, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Posta Rangers FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Sofapaka, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bandari, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Momentum favours APS Bomet, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Sofapaka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give APS Bomet 1.5 xG, Sofapaka 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – APS Bomet 63%, draw 21%, Sofapaka 17%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (86%). Most likely score in line with that pick: APS Bomet 1–0 Sofapaka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
APS Bomet63%fair 1.59
Draw21%fair 4.86
Sofapaka17%fair 6.04
1.98Expected goals
1.51APS Bomet xG
0.48Sofapaka xG
37%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
2–016%
0–014%
1–110%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: APS Bomet 1.5 – 0.5 Sofapaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
APS Bomet
Sofapaka
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-10%
-24%
Goals conceded vs average
-41%
+49%
Our expected goals here
1.58
0.40
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
APS Bomet to win✓
63%
1.59
–
Double chance
APS Bomet or draw✓
83%
1.20
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
–
Draw no bet
APS Bomet (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
APS Bomet -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
APS Bomet to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT APS Bomet / FT APS Bomet✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
21%
4.83
–
Recent results
APS Bomet – last 6
WWDDDL
19 Apr
@ Posta Rangers FC
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ Ulinzi Stars
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Nairobi United
0–0
D
21 Mar
@ Mara Sugar
0–0
D
14 Mar
vs Bidco United
1–1
D
2 Mar
@ Homeboyz
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sofapaka – last 6
DLDLLL
3 Apr
vs Bandari
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Ulinzi Stars
0–2
L
21 Mar
@ Bidco United
0–0
D
14 Mar
vs Nairobi United
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Mara Sugar
1–3
L
26 Feb
vs Police
0–2
L
0.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between APS Bomet and Sofapaka.
On our numbers APS Bomet have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sofapaka 17%.
How many goals will there be in APS Bomet vs Sofapaka?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for APS Bomet vs Sofapaka?
Our predicted score is APS Bomet 1–0 Sofapaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is APS Bomet vs Sofapaka?
APS Bomet vs Sofapaka (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
