AFC Leopards 39%Draw 30%GOR Mahia 31%Expected goals 0.96 – 0.76
90%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.11 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultAFC Leopards to win ✗39% · fair 2.59
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · fair 1.43
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.58
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.80
AFC Leopards vs GOR Mahia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
GOR Mahia travel to face AFC Leopards on Sunday 26 April in the FKF Premier League – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, AFC Leopards are 3rd, among the top four, on 10 points after 6 matches; GOR Mahia are 1st (leading the league) with 13. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
AFC Leopards, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Murang'a SEAL, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
GOR Mahia, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bandari, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours AFC Leopards, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for GOR Mahia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AFC Leopards 1.0 xG, GOR Mahia 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Leopards 39%, draw 30%, GOR Mahia 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (90%). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Leopards 0–0 GOR Mahia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AFC Leopards39%fair 2.59
Draw30%fair 3.35
GOR Mahia31%fair 3.18
1.72Expected goals
0.96AFC Leopards xG
0.76GOR Mahia xG
37%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–018%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: AFC Leopards 1.0 – 0.8 GOR Mahia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
AFC Leopards
GOR Mahia
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-12%
+20%
Goals conceded vs average
-46%
-20%
Our expected goals here
0.83
0.57
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Leopards to win✗
39%
2.59
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.43
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
–
Draw no bet
AFC Leopards (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
GOR Mahia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
AFC Leopards to score first✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.80
–
Recent results
AFC Leopards – last 6
WWWWWL
5 Apr
@ Murang'a SEAL
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs Kariobangi Sharks
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Tusker
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Nairobi United
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Shabana
5–1
W
26 Feb
@ KCB
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
GOR Mahia – last 6
DLDWDW
19 Apr
vs Bandari
0–0
D
14 Apr
@ Tusker
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Kariobangi Sharks
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Ulinzi Stars
3–1
W
5 Mar
@ Posta Rangers FC
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs KCB
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Leopards and GOR Mahia.
What is the prediction for AFC Leopards vs GOR Mahia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 90% chance.
Who will win AFC Leopards vs GOR Mahia?
On our numbers AFC Leopards have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 30% and GOR Mahia 31%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Leopards vs GOR Mahia?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Leopards vs GOR Mahia?
Our predicted score is AFC Leopards 0–0 GOR Mahia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is AFC Leopards vs GOR Mahia?
AFC Leopards vs GOR Mahia (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
