Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗64% · fair 1.56
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.21
Police vs Kariobangi Sharks: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kariobangi Sharks travel to face Police on Wednesday 27 May in the FKF Premier League – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Police, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Nairobi United, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Kariobangi Sharks, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Homeboyz, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Police, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Kariobangi Sharks.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Police 1.0 xG, Kariobangi Sharks 0.6 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 77% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Police 47%, draw 27%, Kariobangi Sharks 26%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (91%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Police 1–0 Kariobangi Sharks. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Police47%fair 2.13
Draw27%fair 3.74
Kariobangi Sharks26%fair 3.80
1.66Expected goals
1.01Police xG
0.65Kariobangi Sharks xG
36%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–019%
1–112%
0–112%
2–010%
2–16%
From our goals model: Police 1.0 – 0.6 Kariobangi Sharks expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Police
Kariobangi Sharks
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-13%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-33%
+1%
Our expected goals here
1.03
0.67
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Police to win✗
47%
2.13
–
Double chance
Police or draw✓
74%
1.36
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
–
Draw no bet
Police (draw no bet)
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Kariobangi Sharks +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Police to score first
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.21
–
Recent results
Police – last 6
DDWWDW
24 May
@ Nairobi United
0–0
D
10 May
@ GOR Mahia
1–1
D
6 May
vs Murang'a SEAL
2–1
W
2 May
@ Shabana
1–0
W
14 Apr
@ Mathare United
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Tusker
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Kariobangi Sharks – last 6
DWDLDL
23 May
vs Homeboyz
2–2
D
10 May
vs Nairobi United
2–0
W
3 May
@ Bidco United
0–0
D
18 Apr
vs Mara Sugar
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ GOR Mahia
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ AFC Leopards
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Police and Kariobangi Sharks.
What is the prediction for Police vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 91% chance.
Who will win Police vs Kariobangi Sharks?
On our numbers Police have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Kariobangi Sharks 26%.
How many goals will there be in Police vs Kariobangi Sharks?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 36% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Police vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Our predicted score is Police 1–0 Kariobangi Sharks, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Police vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Police vs Kariobangi Sharks (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 27 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
