Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.18
Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 27 May the FKF Premier League brings Ulinzi Stars against Tusker. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Ulinzi Stars are 14th, lower half, on 6 points after 6 matches; Tusker are 11th (lower half) with 6. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ulinzi Stars, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mathare United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 3 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Tusker, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bandari, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Ulinzi Stars 1–2 Tusker.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ulinzi Stars 1.0 xG, Tusker 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ulinzi Stars 36%, draw 25%, Tusker 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (87%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ulinzi Stars 0–0 Tusker. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ulinzi Stars36%fair 2.75
Draw25%fair 3.94
Tusker38%fair 2.62
1.94Expected goals
0.97Ulinzi Stars xG
0.97Tusker xG
42%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–014%
1–014%
0–114%
1–114%
2–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Ulinzi Stars 1.0 – 1.0 Tusker expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ulinzi Stars
Tusker
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-11%
+9%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.01
0.94
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 87% chance.
Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker?
On our numbers Ulinzi Stars have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tusker 38%.
How many goals will there be in Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker?
Our predicted score is Ulinzi Stars 0–0 Tusker, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker?
Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 27 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
