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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sofapaka v KCB: numbers & prediction

1–2
FT

KCB

LDLWD
Sofapaka 30%Draw 21%KCB 49% Expected goals 0.85 – 1.36
82%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultKCB to win ✓49% · fair 2.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.68

Sofapaka vs KCB: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

KCB travel to face Sofapaka on Wednesday 27 May in the FKF Premier League – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT.

Current form

Sofapaka, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Shabana, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

KCB, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Posta Rangers FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours KCB, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Sofapaka.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sofapaka 0.8 xG, KCB 1.4 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sofapaka 30%, draw 21%, KCB 49%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (82%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sofapaka 0–1 KCB. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sofapaka30%fair 3.38
Draw21%fair 4.65
KCB49%fair 2.04
2.20Expected goals
0.85Sofapaka xG
1.36KCB xG
46%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
1–113%
0–011%
0–210%
1–09%
1–29%

From our goals model: Sofapaka 0.8 – 1.4 KCB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

SofapakaKCB
Attack vs FKF Premier League average-24%+18%
Goals conceded vs average+49%-10%
Our expected goals here0.811.55

Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKCB to win ✓49%2.04–
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.27–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.84–
Draw no betKCB (draw no bet) ✓62%1.60–
Asian handicapSofapaka +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreKCB to score first55%1.83–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT KCB / FT KCB ✗29%3.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15%6.68–

Recent results

Sofapaka – last 6

DLDLDL
24 Mayvs Shabana1–1D
11 May@ Posta Rangers FC0–3L
2 Mayvs Mathare United2–2D
26 Apr@ APS Bomet0–1L
3 Aprvs Bandari0–0D
29 Mar@ Ulinzi Stars0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

KCB – last 6

LDLWDW
23 Mayvs Posta Rangers FC0–1L
10 Mayvs Bandari2–2D
6 May@ APS Bomet0–1L
3 May@ Nairobi United1–0W
26 Aprvs Homeboyz1–1D
5 Apr@ Bidco United1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sofapaka and KCB.

Sofapaka vs KCB head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sofapaka vs KCB?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance.

Who will win Sofapaka vs KCB?

On our numbers Sofapaka have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and KCB 49%.

How many goals will there be in Sofapaka vs KCB?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sofapaka vs KCB?

Our predicted score is Sofapaka 0–1 KCB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Sofapaka vs KCB?

Sofapaka vs KCB (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 27 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.