Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.44
Shabana vs Ulinzi Stars: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ulinzi Stars travel to face Shabana on Saturday 9 May in the FKF Premier League – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Shabana are 5th, upper half, on 9 points after 6 matches; Ulinzi Stars are 14th (lower half) with 6. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Shabana, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Police, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Ulinzi Stars, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tusker, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shabana 1.0 xG, Ulinzi Stars 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shabana 38%, draw 27%, Ulinzi Stars 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (88%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shabana 1–0 Ulinzi Stars. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shabana38%fair 2.61
Draw27%fair 3.71
Ulinzi Stars35%fair 2.88
1.89Expected goals
1.03Shabana xG
0.86Ulinzi Stars xG
40%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Shabana 1.0 – 0.9 Ulinzi Stars expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Shabana
Ulinzi Stars
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-14%
-11%
Goals conceded vs average
-11%
-2%
Our expected goals here
0.99
0.70
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shabana to win✗
38%
2.61
–
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
–
Draw no bet
Shabana (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Ulinzi Stars +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.05
–
First team to score
Shabana to score first✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.44
–
Recent results
Shabana – last 6
LLWLLW
2 May
vs Police
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Nairobi United
0–3
L
29 Mar
vs Murang'a SEAL
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Kariobangi Sharks
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ AFC Leopards
1–5
L
25 Feb
@ Mathare United
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ulinzi Stars – last 6
LLWWLL
3 May
vs Tusker
1–2
L
4 Apr
vs APS Bomet
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Sofapaka
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Nairobi United
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs GOR Mahia
1–3
L
2 Mar
@ Bidco United
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shabana and Ulinzi Stars.
What is the prediction for Shabana vs Ulinzi Stars?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 88% chance.
Who will win Shabana vs Ulinzi Stars?
On our numbers Shabana have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Ulinzi Stars 35%.
How many goals will there be in Shabana vs Ulinzi Stars?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shabana vs Ulinzi Stars?
Our predicted score is Shabana 1–0 Ulinzi Stars, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Shabana vs Ulinzi Stars?
Shabana vs Ulinzi Stars (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
