Kariobangi Sharks 37%Draw 23%Nairobi United 40%Expected goals 1.14 – 1.07
82%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultNairobi United to win ✗40% · fair 2.51
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.56
Kariobangi Sharks vs Nairobi United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 10 May the FKF Premier League brings Kariobangi Sharks against Nairobi United. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT.
Current form
Kariobangi Sharks, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bidco United, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Nairobi United, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tusker, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nairobi United, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Kariobangi Sharks.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kariobangi Sharks 1.1 xG, Nairobi United 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kariobangi Sharks 37%, draw 23%, Nairobi United 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (82%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kariobangi Sharks 1–1 Nairobi United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kariobangi Sharks37%fair 2.67
Draw23%fair 4.40
Nairobi United40%fair 2.51
2.22Expected goals
1.14Kariobangi Sharks xG
1.07Nairobi United xG
45%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Kariobangi Sharks 1.1 – 1.1 Nairobi United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Kariobangi Sharks
Nairobi United
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
+13%
+18%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
-0%
Our expected goals here
1.33
1.05
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nairobi United to win✗
40%
2.51
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Nairobi United (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Nairobi United +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Kariobangi Sharks to score first✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kariobangi Sharks / FT Kariobangi Sharks✓
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.56
–
Recent results
Kariobangi Sharks – last 6
DLDLLW
3 May
@ Bidco United
0–0
D
18 Apr
vs Mara Sugar
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ GOR Mahia
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ AFC Leopards
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Posta Rangers FC
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Shabana
2–1
W
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nairobi United – last 6
WLWDWD
6 May
vs Tusker
1–0
W
3 May
vs KCB
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Murang'a SEAL
4–2
W
8 Apr
vs Homeboyz
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Shabana
3–0
W
1 Apr
vs Mara Sugar
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kariobangi Sharks and Nairobi United.
What is the prediction for Kariobangi Sharks vs Nairobi United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance.
Who will win Kariobangi Sharks vs Nairobi United?
On our numbers Kariobangi Sharks have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nairobi United 40%.
How many goals will there be in Kariobangi Sharks vs Nairobi United?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kariobangi Sharks vs Nairobi United?
Our predicted score is Kariobangi Sharks 1–1 Nairobi United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Kariobangi Sharks vs Nairobi United?
Kariobangi Sharks vs Nairobi United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
