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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tusker v Bidco United: numbers & prediction

Tusker

LWLWL
2–0
FT
Tusker 56%Draw 23%Bidco United 22% Expected goals 1.29 – 0.62
87%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultTusker to win ✓56% · fair 1.80
Double chanceTusker or draw ✓78% · fair 1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.24

Tusker vs Bidco United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Sunday 10 May: Tusker v Bidco United in the FKF Premier League.

Current form

Tusker, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Nairobi United, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Bidco United, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kariobangi Sharks, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tusker 1.3 xG, Bidco United 0.6 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tusker 56%, draw 23%, Bidco United 22%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (87%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tusker 1–0 Bidco United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tusker56%fair 1.80
Draw23%fair 4.39
Bidco United22%fair 4.61
1.91Expected goals
1.29Tusker xG
0.62Bidco United xG
40%Both score
30%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
0–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: Tusker 1.3 – 0.6 Bidco United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

TuskerBidco United
Attack vs FKF Premier League average+9%-24%
Goals conceded vs average-4%+10%
Our expected goals here1.410.65

Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTusker to win ✓56%1.80–
Double chanceTusker or draw ✓78%1.28–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓60%1.67–
Draw no betTusker (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapBidco United +1 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓57%1.75–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreTusker to score first ✓58%1.74–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tusker / FT Tusker ✓31%3.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.24–

Recent results

Tusker – last 6

LWLWLL
6 May@ Nairobi United0–1L
3 May@ Ulinzi Stars2–1W
24 Aprvs Mara Sugar0–1L
14 Aprvs GOR Mahia1–0W
3 Apr@ Police0–1L
22 Mar@ AFC Leopards0–1L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Bidco United – last 6

DDLLDD
3 Mayvs Kariobangi Sharks0–0D
24 Apr@ Posta Rangers FC1–1D
5 Aprvs KCB0–1L
28 Mar@ Bandari0–1L
21 Marvs Sofapaka0–0D
14 Mar@ APS Bomet1–1D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tusker and Bidco United.

Tusker vs Bidco United head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tusker vs Bidco United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 87% chance.

Who will win Tusker vs Bidco United?

On our numbers Tusker have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bidco United 22%.

How many goals will there be in Tusker vs Bidco United?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tusker vs Bidco United?

Our predicted score is Tusker 1–0 Bidco United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Tusker vs Bidco United?

Tusker vs Bidco United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.