Murang'a SEAL 44%Draw 19%Homeboyz 37%Expected goals 1.60 – 1.28
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultMurang'a SEAL to win ✓44% · fair 2.27
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · fair 1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.87
Murang'a SEAL vs Homeboyz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 10 May the FKF Premier League brings Murang'a SEAL against Homeboyz. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Murang'a SEAL are 8th, upper half, on 8 points after 6 matches; Homeboyz are 17th (in the drop zone) with 5. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Murang'a SEAL, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Police, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Homeboyz, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to GOR Mahia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Homeboyz, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Murang'a SEAL.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Murang'a SEAL 1.6 xG, Homeboyz 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Murang'a SEAL 44%, draw 19%, Homeboyz 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Murang'a SEAL 1–1 Homeboyz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Murang'a SEAL44%fair 2.27
Draw19%fair 5.27
Homeboyz37%fair 2.70
2.89Expected goals
1.60Murang'a SEAL xG
1.28Homeboyz xG
52%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Murang'a SEAL 1.6 – 1.3 Homeboyz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Murang'a SEAL
Homeboyz
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
+58%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
+42%
+4%
Our expected goals here
1.92
1.29
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Murang'a SEAL to win✓
44%
2.27
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Murang'a SEAL (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Homeboyz +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Murang'a SEAL to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Murang'a SEAL / FT Murang'a SEAL✓
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
Murang'a SEAL – last 6
LLLLDD
6 May
@ Police
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Nairobi United
2–4
L
5 Apr
vs AFC Leopards
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Shabana
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Mathare United
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ KCB
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Homeboyz – last 6
LDDWWD
3 May
vs GOR Mahia
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ KCB
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Nairobi United
2–2
D
4 Apr
vs Mathare United
3–0
W
28 Mar
@ Posta Rangers FC
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Bandari
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Murang'a SEAL and Homeboyz.
What is the prediction for Murang'a SEAL vs Homeboyz?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance.
Who will win Murang'a SEAL vs Homeboyz?
On our numbers Murang'a SEAL have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Homeboyz 37%.
How many goals will there be in Murang'a SEAL vs Homeboyz?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Murang'a SEAL vs Homeboyz?
Our predicted score is Murang'a SEAL 1–1 Homeboyz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Murang'a SEAL vs Homeboyz?
Murang'a SEAL vs Homeboyz (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
