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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Posta Rangers FC v Sofapaka: numbers & prediction

3–0
FT
Posta Rangers FC 49%Draw 21%Sofapaka 30% Expected goals 1.35 – 0.83
82%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultPosta Rangers FC to win ✓49% · fair 2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.56

Posta Rangers FC vs Sofapaka: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sofapaka travel to face Posta Rangers FC on Monday 11 May in the FKF Premier League – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT.

Current form

Posta Rangers FC, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bandari, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Sofapaka, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Mathare United, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Posta Rangers FC 1.4 xG, Sofapaka 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Posta Rangers FC 49%, draw 21%, Sofapaka 30%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (82%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Posta Rangers FC 1–0 Sofapaka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Posta Rangers FC49%fair 2.05
Draw21%fair 4.67
Sofapaka30%fair 3.36
2.18Expected goals
1.35Posta Rangers FC xG
0.83Sofapaka xG
43%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%

From our goals model: Posta Rangers FC 1.4 – 0.8 Sofapaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Posta Rangers FCSofapaka
Attack vs FKF Premier League average-11%-24%
Goals conceded vs average+16%+49%
Our expected goals here1.560.78

Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPosta Rangers FC to win ✓49%2.05–
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.27–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.75–
Draw no betPosta Rangers FC (draw no bet) ✓62%1.61–
Asian handicapSofapaka +1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scorePosta Rangers FC to score first ✓55%1.82–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Posta Rangers FC / FT Posta Rangers FC ✓29%3.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.56–

Recent results

Posta Rangers FC – last 6

DDLLLW
6 May@ Bandari1–1D
24 Aprvs Bidco United1–1D
19 Aprvs APS Bomet0–3L
6 Apr@ Mara Sugar0–1L
28 Marvs Homeboyz0–2L
22 Mar@ Kariobangi Sharks2–1W
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sofapaka – last 6

DLDLDL
2 Mayvs Mathare United2–2D
26 Apr@ APS Bomet0–1L
3 Aprvs Bandari0–0D
29 Mar@ Ulinzi Stars0–2L
21 Mar@ Bidco United0–0D
14 Marvs Nairobi United0–1L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Posta Rangers FC and Sofapaka.

Posta Rangers FC vs Sofapaka head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Posta Rangers FC vs Sofapaka?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance.

Who will win Posta Rangers FC vs Sofapaka?

On our numbers Posta Rangers FC have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sofapaka 30%.

How many goals will there be in Posta Rangers FC vs Sofapaka?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Posta Rangers FC vs Sofapaka?

Our predicted score is Posta Rangers FC 1–0 Sofapaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Posta Rangers FC vs Sofapaka?

Posta Rangers FC vs Sofapaka (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.