Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.91
Sofapaka vs Shabana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shabana travel to face Sofapaka on Sunday 24 May in the FKF Premier League – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT.
Current form
Sofapaka, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Posta Rangers FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Shabana, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bidco United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Shabana, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Sofapaka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sofapaka 0.8 xG, Shabana 1.2 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sofapaka 25%, draw 25%, Shabana 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (87%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sofapaka 0–1 Shabana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sofapaka25%fair 4.00
Draw25%fair 3.98
Shabana50%fair 2.00
1.94Expected goals
0.76Sofapaka xG
1.18Shabana xG
41%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–014%
1–113%
1–011%
0–210%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sofapaka 0.8 – 1.2 Shabana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sofapaka
Shabana
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-24%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
+49%
-11%
Our expected goals here
0.80
1.14
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shabana to win✗
50%
2.00
–
Double chance
Shabana or draw✓
75%
1.33
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
–
Draw no bet
Shabana (draw no bet)
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Sofapaka +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Shabana to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shabana / FT Shabana✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.91
–
Recent results
Sofapaka – last 6
LDLDLD
11 May
@ Posta Rangers FC
0–3
L
2 May
vs Mathare United
2–2
D
26 Apr
@ APS Bomet
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Bandari
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Ulinzi Stars
0–2
L
21 Mar
@ Bidco United
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Shabana – last 6
WLDLLW
17 May
@ Bidco United
1–0
W
13 May
@ Mara Sugar
0–1
L
9 May
vs Ulinzi Stars
0–0
D
2 May
vs Police
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Nairobi United
0–3
L
29 Mar
vs Murang'a SEAL
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sofapaka and Shabana.
On our numbers Sofapaka have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shabana 50%.
How many goals will there be in Sofapaka vs Shabana?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sofapaka vs Shabana?
Our predicted score is Sofapaka 0–1 Shabana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Sofapaka vs Shabana?
Sofapaka vs Shabana (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
