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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bandari v Tusker: numbers & prediction

Bandari

LDDDD
1–0
FT

Tusker

WLWLW
Bandari 34%Draw 29%Tusker 36% Expected goals 0.78 – 0.76
93%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.08 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultTusker to win ✗36% · fair 2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · fair 1.42
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.17

Bandari vs Tusker: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bandari welcome Tusker for a FKF Premier League fixture on Sunday 24 May (13:00 WAT). In the table, Bandari are 9th, upper half, on 7 points after 6 matches; Tusker are 11th (lower half) with 6. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Bandari, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to APS Bomet, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Tusker, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bidco United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bandari 0.8 xG, Tusker 0.8 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 80% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bandari 34%, draw 29%, Tusker 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (93%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bandari 0–0 Tusker. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bandari34%fair 2.93
Draw29%fair 3.39
Tusker36%fair 2.75
1.54Expected goals
0.78Bandari xG
0.76Tusker xG
37%Both score
20%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–021%
1–017%
0–116%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: Bandari 0.8 – 0.8 Tusker expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

BandariTusker
Attack vs FKF Premier League average-30%+9%
Goals conceded vs average-30%-4%
Our expected goals here0.790.67

Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTusker to win ✗36%2.75–
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71%1.42–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓63%1.60–
Draw no betTusker (draw no bet) ✗52%1.94–
Asian handicapTusker +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scoreBandari to score first ✓40%2.50–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗57%1.76–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗29%3.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16%6.17–

Recent results

Bandari – last 6

LDDDDW
20 Mayvs APS Bomet0–2L
10 May@ KCB2–2D
6 Mayvs Posta Rangers FC1–1D
19 Apr@ GOR Mahia0–0D
3 Apr@ Sofapaka0–0D
28 Marvs Bidco United1–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Tusker – last 6

WLWLWL
10 Mayvs Bidco United2–0W
6 May@ Nairobi United0–1L
3 May@ Ulinzi Stars2–1W
24 Aprvs Mara Sugar0–1L
14 Aprvs GOR Mahia1–0W
3 Apr@ Police0–1L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bandari and Tusker.

Bandari vs Tusker head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bandari vs Tusker?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 93% chance.

Who will win Bandari vs Tusker?

On our numbers Bandari have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Tusker 36%.

How many goals will there be in Bandari vs Tusker?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 20% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bandari vs Tusker?

Our predicted score is Bandari 0–0 Tusker, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Bandari vs Tusker?

Bandari vs Tusker (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.