Double chanceAFC Leopards or draw ✗68% · fair 1.47
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗63% · fair 1.59
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗23% · fair 4.39
APS Bomet vs AFC Leopards: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 24 May the FKF Premier League brings APS Bomet against AFC Leopards. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, APS Bomet are 13th, lower half, on 6 points after 6 matches; AFC Leopards are 3rd (among the top four) with 10.
Current form
APS Bomet, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bandari, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 6 clean sheets in that run.
AFC Leopards, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ulinzi Stars, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours APS Bomet, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.5 for AFC Leopards.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give APS Bomet 0.8 xG, AFC Leopards 0.7 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – APS Bomet 32%, draw 35%, AFC Leopards 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (94%). Most likely score in line with that pick: APS Bomet 0–0 AFC Leopards. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
APS Bomet32%fair 3.14
Draw35%fair 2.85
AFC Leopards33%fair 3.02
1.48Expected goals
0.77APS Bomet xG
0.71AFC Leopards xG
37%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–023%
1–017%
0–116%
1–112%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: APS Bomet 0.8 – 0.7 AFC Leopards expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
APS Bomet
AFC Leopards
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-10%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-41%
-46%
Our expected goals here
0.57
0.46
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
35%
2.85
–
Double chance
AFC Leopards or draw✗
68%
1.47
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
–
Draw no bet
AFC Leopards (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
AFC Leopards +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
APS Bomet to score first
40%
2.50
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
23%
4.39
–
Recent results
APS Bomet – last 6
WWWWWW
20 May
@ Bandari
2–0
W
10 May
@ Mathare United
2–0
W
6 May
vs KCB
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Sofapaka
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Posta Rangers FC
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ Ulinzi Stars
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
AFC Leopards – last 6
WLWWWW
13 May
@ Ulinzi Stars
2–0
W
26 Apr
vs GOR Mahia
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Murang'a SEAL
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs Kariobangi Sharks
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Tusker
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Nairobi United
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between APS Bomet and AFC Leopards.
What is the prediction for APS Bomet vs AFC Leopards?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 94% chance.
Who will win APS Bomet vs AFC Leopards?
On our numbers APS Bomet have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 35% and AFC Leopards 33%.
How many goals will there be in APS Bomet vs AFC Leopards?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for APS Bomet vs AFC Leopards?
Our predicted score is APS Bomet 0–0 AFC Leopards, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is APS Bomet vs AFC Leopards?
APS Bomet vs AFC Leopards (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
