Nairobi United 38%Draw 27%Police 35%Expected goals 0.96 – 0.86
89%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultNairobi United to win ✗38% · fair 2.63
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · fair 1.37
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.40
Nairobi United vs Police: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Police travel to face Nairobi United on Sunday 24 May in the FKF Premier League – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Nairobi United, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kariobangi Sharks, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Police, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with GOR Mahia, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nairobi United 1.0 xG, Police 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nairobi United 38%, draw 27%, Police 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (89%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nairobi United 0–0 Police. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nairobi United38%fair 2.63
Draw27%fair 3.68
Police35%fair 2.88
1.82Expected goals
0.96Nairobi United xG
0.86Police xG
38%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–016%
1–016%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Nairobi United 1.0 – 0.9 Police expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Nairobi United
Police
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
+18%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
-0%
-33%
Our expected goals here
0.93
0.77
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nairobi United to win✗
38%
2.63
–
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
–
Draw no bet
Nairobi United (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Police +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Nairobi United to score first✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.40
–
Recent results
Nairobi United – last 6
LWLWDW
10 May
@ Kariobangi Sharks
0–2
L
6 May
vs Tusker
1–0
W
3 May
vs KCB
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Murang'a SEAL
4–2
W
8 Apr
vs Homeboyz
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Shabana
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Police – last 6
DWWDWL
10 May
@ GOR Mahia
1–1
D
6 May
vs Murang'a SEAL
2–1
W
2 May
@ Shabana
1–0
W
14 Apr
@ Mathare United
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Tusker
1–0
W
13 Mar
@ Posta Rangers FC
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nairobi United and Police.
What is the prediction for Nairobi United vs Police?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 89% chance.
Who will win Nairobi United vs Police?
On our numbers Nairobi United have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Police 35%.
How many goals will there be in Nairobi United vs Police?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nairobi United vs Police?
Our predicted score is Nairobi United 0–0 Police, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Nairobi United vs Police?
Nairobi United vs Police (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
