GOR Mahia 48%Draw 23%Nairobi United 30%Expected goals 1.34 – 0.90
81%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultGOR Mahia to win ✗48% · fair 2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.98
GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 31 May the FKF Premier League brings GOR Mahia against Nairobi United. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, GOR Mahia are 1st, leading the league, on 13 points after 6 matches; Nairobi United are 15th (lower half) with 5.
Current form
GOR Mahia, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Police, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Nairobi United, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Police, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give GOR Mahia 1.3 xG, Nairobi United 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – GOR Mahia 48%, draw 23%, Nairobi United 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%). Most likely score in line with that pick: GOR Mahia 1–0 Nairobi United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
GOR Mahia48%fair 2.10
Draw23%fair 4.40
Nairobi United30%fair 3.38
2.24Expected goals
1.34GOR Mahia xG
0.90Nairobi United xG
45%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–110%
2–19%
From our goals model: GOR Mahia 1.3 – 0.9 Nairobi United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
GOR Mahia
Nairobi United
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
+20%
+18%
Goals conceded vs average
-20%
-0%
Our expected goals here
1.40
0.83
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GOR Mahia to win✗
48%
2.10
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
GOR Mahia (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Nairobi United +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
GOR Mahia to score first✗
54%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GOR Mahia / FT GOR Mahia✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.98
–
Recent results
GOR Mahia – last 6
DWWDLD
10 May
vs Police
1–1
D
3 May
@ Homeboyz
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ AFC Leopards
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Bandari
0–0
D
14 Apr
@ Tusker
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Kariobangi Sharks
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Nairobi United – last 6
DLWLWD
24 May
vs Police
0–0
D
10 May
@ Kariobangi Sharks
0–2
L
6 May
vs Tusker
1–0
W
3 May
vs KCB
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Murang'a SEAL
4–2
W
8 Apr
vs Homeboyz
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GOR Mahia and Nairobi United.
What is the prediction for GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance.
Who will win GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
On our numbers GOR Mahia have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nairobi United 30%.
How many goals will there be in GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
Our predicted score is GOR Mahia 1–0 Nairobi United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
