Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.36
Police vs Homeboyz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Sunday 31 May: Police v Homeboyz in the FKF Premier League.
Current form
Police, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kariobangi Sharks, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Homeboyz, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kariobangi Sharks, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Police, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Homeboyz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Police 1.1 xG, Homeboyz 0.7 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Police 49%, draw 27%, Homeboyz 25%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (89%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Police 1–0 Homeboyz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Police49%fair 2.05
Draw27%fair 3.75
Homeboyz25%fair 4.07
1.81Expected goals
1.14Police xG
0.67Homeboyz xG
39%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–016%
1–113%
0–111%
2–011%
2–17%
From our goals model: Police 1.1 – 0.7 Homeboyz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Police
Homeboyz
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-13%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-33%
+4%
Our expected goals here
1.06
0.60
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Police to win✗
49%
2.05
–
Double chance
Police or draw✓
75%
1.33
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
–
Draw no bet
Police (draw no bet)
66%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Homeboyz +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Police to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Police / FT Police✗
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.36
–
Recent results
Police – last 6
DDDWWD
27 May
vs Kariobangi Sharks
1–1
D
24 May
@ Nairobi United
0–0
D
10 May
@ GOR Mahia
1–1
D
6 May
vs Murang'a SEAL
2–1
W
2 May
@ Shabana
1–0
W
14 Apr
@ Mathare United
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Homeboyz – last 6
DLLDDW
23 May
@ Kariobangi Sharks
2–2
D
10 May
@ Murang'a SEAL
0–1
L
3 May
vs GOR Mahia
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ KCB
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Nairobi United
2–2
D
4 Apr
vs Mathare United
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Police and Homeboyz.
On our numbers Police have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Homeboyz 25%.
How many goals will there be in Police vs Homeboyz?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Police vs Homeboyz?
Our predicted score is Police 1–0 Homeboyz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Police vs Homeboyz?
Police vs Homeboyz (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
