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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mathare United v Bandari: numbers & prediction

1–0
FT

Bandari

WLDDD
Mathare United 31%Draw 31%Bandari 38% Expected goals 0.73 – 0.79
93%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.07 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultBandari to win ✗38% · fair 2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓69% · fair 1.45
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.78

Mathare United vs Bandari: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 31 May the FKF Premier League brings Mathare United against Bandari. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Mathare United are 16th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 6 matches; Bandari are 9th (upper half) with 7. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Mathare United, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ulinzi Stars, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Bandari, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tusker, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Bandari, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Mathare United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mathare United 0.7 xG, Bandari 0.8 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 80% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mathare United 31%, draw 31%, Bandari 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (93%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mathare United 0–0 Bandari. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mathare United31%fair 3.19
Draw31%fair 3.24
Bandari38%fair 2.65
1.52Expected goals
0.73Mathare United xG
0.79Bandari xG
38%Both score
20%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–022%
0–117%
1–016%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%

From our goals model: Mathare United 0.7 – 0.8 Bandari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Mathare UnitedBandari
Attack vs FKF Premier League average-18%-30%
Goals conceded vs average+7%-30%
Our expected goals here0.670.66

Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBandari to win ✗38%2.65–
Double chanceEither team to win ✓69%1.45–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓62%1.62–
Draw no betBandari (draw no bet) ✗55%1.83–
Asian handicapMathare United +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓55%1.81–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓80%1.24–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scoreBandari to score first ✗41%2.46–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓57%1.75–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗29%3.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17%5.78–

Recent results

Mathare United – last 6

LLDDLD
23 May@ Ulinzi Stars1–2L
10 Mayvs APS Bomet0–2L
2 May@ Sofapaka2–2D
14 Aprvs Police0–0D
4 Apr@ Homeboyz0–3L
22 Mar@ Murang'a SEAL1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Bandari – last 6

WLDDDD
24 Mayvs Tusker1–0W
20 Mayvs APS Bomet0–2L
10 May@ KCB2–2D
6 Mayvs Posta Rangers FC1–1D
19 Apr@ GOR Mahia0–0D
3 Apr@ Sofapaka0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mathare United and Bandari.

Mathare United vs Bandari head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mathare United vs Bandari?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 93% chance.

Who will win Mathare United vs Bandari?

On our numbers Mathare United have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Bandari 38%.

How many goals will there be in Mathare United vs Bandari?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 20% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mathare United vs Bandari?

Our predicted score is Mathare United 0–0 Bandari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Mathare United vs Bandari?

Mathare United vs Bandari (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.