Murang'a SEAL 48%Draw 20%Mara Sugar 32%Expected goals 1.50 – 1.16
74%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · Won ✓
8/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultMurang'a SEAL to win ✓48% · fair 2.09
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · fair 1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.95
Murang'a SEAL vs Mara Sugar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Sunday 31 May: Murang'a SEAL v Mara Sugar in the FKF Premier League. In the table, Murang'a SEAL are 8th, upper half, on 8 points after 6 matches; Mara Sugar are 6th (upper half) with 9. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Murang'a SEAL, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bidco United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Mara Sugar, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Shabana, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Mara Sugar, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Murang'a SEAL.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Murang'a SEAL 1.5 xG, Mara Sugar 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Murang'a SEAL 48%, draw 20%, Mara Sugar 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Murang'a SEAL 1–1 Mara Sugar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Murang'a SEAL48%fair 2.09
Draw20%fair 5.06
Mara Sugar32%fair 3.09
2.66Expected goals
1.50Murang'a SEAL xG
1.16Mara Sugar xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Murang'a SEAL 1.5 – 1.2 Mara Sugar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Murang'a SEAL
Mara Sugar
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
+58%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
+42%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.75
1.33
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Murang'a SEAL to win✓
48%
2.09
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Murang'a SEAL (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Mara Sugar +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Murang'a SEAL to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Murang'a SEAL / FT Murang'a SEAL✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.95
–
Recent results
Murang'a SEAL – last 6
WWLLLL
24 May
@ Bidco United
2–0
W
10 May
vs Homeboyz
1–0
W
6 May
@ Police
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Nairobi United
2–4
L
5 Apr
vs AFC Leopards
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Shabana
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mara Sugar – last 6
WWWWDL
13 May
vs Shabana
1–0
W
24 Apr
@ Tusker
1–0
W
18 Apr
@ Kariobangi Sharks
1–0
W
6 Apr
vs Posta Rangers FC
1–0
W
1 Apr
@ Nairobi United
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ KCB
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Murang'a SEAL and Mara Sugar.
What is the prediction for Murang'a SEAL vs Mara Sugar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance.
Who will win Murang'a SEAL vs Mara Sugar?
On our numbers Murang'a SEAL have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mara Sugar 32%.
How many goals will there be in Murang'a SEAL vs Mara Sugar?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Murang'a SEAL vs Mara Sugar?
Our predicted score is Murang'a SEAL 1–1 Mara Sugar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Murang'a SEAL vs Mara Sugar?
Murang'a SEAL vs Mara Sugar (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
