Value bet: Aserri FC to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEscorpiones Belén to win ✓43% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.40
Aserri FC vs Escorpiones Belén: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 February the Liga De Ascenso brings Aserri FC against Escorpiones Belén. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aserri FC 1.5 xG, Escorpiones Belén 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aserri FC 35%, draw 23%, Escorpiones Belén 43%.
Price worth noting: Aserri FC to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aserri FC 2–1 Escorpiones Belén. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aserri FC35%fair 2.88 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.60
Escorpiones Belén43%fair 2.35 · @1.90
2.95Expected goals
1.53Aserri FC xG
1.42Escorpiones Belén xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Aserri FC 1.5 – 1.4 Escorpiones Belén expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Escorpiones Belén to win✓
43%
2.35
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Escorpiones Belén (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Escorpiones Belén +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
First team to score
Aserri FC to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aserri FC / FT Aserri FC✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.40
–
Recent results
Aserri FC – last 2
WD
19 Feb
vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
1–0
W
13 Feb
vs Santa Ana
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Escorpiones Belén
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aserri FC and Escorpiones Belén.
What is the prediction for Aserri FC vs Escorpiones Belén?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Aserri FC vs Escorpiones Belén?
On our numbers Aserri FC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Escorpiones Belén 43%.
How many goals will there be in Aserri FC vs Escorpiones Belén?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aserri FC vs Escorpiones Belén?
Our predicted score is Aserri FC 2–1 Escorpiones Belén, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Aserri FC vs Escorpiones Belén?
Aserri FC vs Escorpiones Belén (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.