Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sarpsborg 08 FF travel to face Fredrikstad on Sunday 8 March in the NM Cupen, with Fredrikstad Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fredrikstad 2.3 xG, Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.8 xG – a total near 4.2. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fredrikstad 45%, draw 24%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 31%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fredrikstad 2–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fredrikstad45%fair 2.21 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.50
Sarpsborg 08 FF31%fair 3.24 · @2.90
4.16Expected goals
2.32Fredrikstad xG
1.84Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
67%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
2–27%
1–17%
1–26%
3–16%
3–26%
From our goals model: Fredrikstad 2.3 – 1.8 Sarpsborg 08 FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fredrikstad to win✓
45%
2.21
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.48
Draw no bet
Fredrikstad (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Sarpsborg 08 FF +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.62 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
First team to score
Fredrikstad to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Fredrikstad ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fredrikstad / FT Fredrikstad✗
31%
3.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.95
–
Recent results
Fredrikstad – last 2
WD
22 Feb
@ Aalesund
3–2
W
17 Feb
vs KFUM Oslo
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sarpsborg 08 FF – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Ham-Kam
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fredrikstad and Sarpsborg 08 FF.
What is the prediction for Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
On our numbers Fredrikstad have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sarpsborg 08 FF 31%.
How many goals will there be in Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Our predicted score is Fredrikstad 2–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF (NM Cupen) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Fredrikstad Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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