Napoli W 53%Draw 26%Parma W 21%Expected goals 1.54 – 0.84
79%
Betarazi pick
Napoli W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultNapoli W to win ✗53% · @1.87
Double chanceNapoli W or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Napoli W vs Parma W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Saturday 21 February: Napoli W v Parma W in the Serie A Women, played at Stadio Giuseppe Piccolo. In the table, Napoli W are 9th, lower half, on 5 points after 6 matches; Parma W are 10th (in the drop zone) with 5. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Napoli W 1.5 xG, Parma W 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Napoli W 53%, draw 26%, Parma W 21%.
Lower-risk option: Napoli W or draw (79%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Napoli W or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Napoli W 1–0 Parma W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Napoli W53%fair 1.88 · @1.87
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.30
Parma W21%fair 4.77 · @3.60
2.38Expected goals
1.54Napoli W xG
0.84Parma W xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
0–09%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Napoli W 1.5 – 0.8 Parma W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Napoli W to win✗
53%
1.88
1.87
Double chance
Napoli W or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.80
Draw no bet
Napoli W (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Parma W +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.29
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.78
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Napoli W to score first✗
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Napoli W / FT Napoli W✗
32%
3.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.84
–
Recent results
Napoli W – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Roma W
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Parma W – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Inter Milano W
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Napoli W and Parma W.
Our pick is Napoli W or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Napoli W vs Parma W?
On our numbers Napoli W have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Parma W 21%.
How many goals will there be in Napoli W vs Parma W?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Napoli W vs Parma W?
Our predicted score is Napoli W 1–0 Parma W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Napoli W vs Parma W?
Napoli W vs Parma W (Serie A Women) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Piccolo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Genoa W0