Roma W 60%Draw 23%Fiorentina W 17%Expected goals 2.17 – 1.07
83%
Betarazi pick
Roma W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultRoma W to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceRoma W or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Roma W vs Fiorentina W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Roma W welcome Fiorentina W to Stadio Tre Fontane for a Serie A Women fixture on Sunday 15 March (18:00 WAT). In the table, Roma W are 1st, leading the league, on 18 points after 6 matches; Fiorentina W are 4th (among the top four) with 10.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Roma W 2.2 xG, Fiorentina W 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Roma W 60%, draw 23%, Fiorentina W 17%.
Lower-risk option: Roma W or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Roma W or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Roma W 2–1 Fiorentina W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Roma W60%fair 1.68 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
Fiorentina W17%fair 5.76 · @3.75
3.23Expected goals
2.17Roma W xG
1.07Fiorentina W xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Roma W 2.2 – 1.1 Fiorentina W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roma W to win✗
60%
1.68
1.75
Double chance
Roma W or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.60
Draw no bet
Roma W (draw no bet)
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Roma W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
First team to score
Roma W to score first✗
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Roma W ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Roma W / FT Roma W✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Roma W – last 2
WD
22 Feb
@ Inter Milano W
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Napoli W
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fiorentina W – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs Sassuolo W
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Roma W and Fiorentina W.
What is the prediction for Roma W vs Fiorentina W?
Our pick is Roma W or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Roma W vs Fiorentina W?
On our numbers Roma W have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fiorentina W 17%.
How many goals will there be in Roma W vs Fiorentina W?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roma W vs Fiorentina W?
Our predicted score is Roma W 2–1 Fiorentina W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Roma W vs Fiorentina W?
Roma W vs Fiorentina W (Serie A Women) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Tre Fontane.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
