Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.86
Parma W vs Lazio W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Parma W welcome Lazio W to Stadio Ennio Tardini for a Serie A Women fixture on Sunday 3 May (11:30 WAT). In the table, Parma W are 10th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 6 matches; Lazio W are 11th (in the drop zone) with 3. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Parma W, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Como W, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Lazio W, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Sassuolo W, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Parma W 1.0 xG, Lazio W 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Parma W 32%, draw 28%, Lazio W 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.90 – longer than our fair 1.83, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Parma W 1–1 Lazio W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Parma W32%fair 3.14 · @3.00
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.35
Lazio W40%fair 2.47 · @2.05
2.23Expected goals
1.05Parma W xG
1.19Lazio W xG
46%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Parma W 1.0 – 1.2 Lazio W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lazio W to win✓
40%
2.47
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Lazio W (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Parma W +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.83
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Lazio W to score first
48%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lazio W / FT Lazio W✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.86
–
Recent results
Parma W – last 5
DDDDL
25 Apr
@ Como W
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Fiorentina W
0–0
D
14 Mar
vs Genoa W
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Napoli W
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Inter Milano W
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Lazio W – last 3
LDD
25 Apr
vs Sassuolo W
0–3
L
21 Feb
vs AC Milan W
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Juventus W
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma W and Lazio W.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Parma W vs Lazio W?
On our numbers Parma W have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Lazio W 40%.
How many goals will there be in Parma W vs Lazio W?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parma W vs Lazio W?
Our predicted score is Parma W 1–1 Lazio W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Parma W vs Lazio W?
Parma W vs Lazio W (Serie A Women) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
