Value bet: River Plate to win @ 3.90 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBubali to win ✗52% · @1.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.66
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.33
Bubali vs River Plate: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Bubali v River Plate in the Division Di Honor. In the table, Bubali are 6th, lower half, on 13 points after 9 matches; River Plate are 8th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bubali 2.2 xG, River Plate 1.9 xG – a total near 4.2. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bubali 52%, draw 19%, River Plate 29%.
Price worth noting: River Plate to win @3.90 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bubali 2–1 River Plate. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bubali52%fair 1.93 · @1.65
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @4.33
River Plate29%fair 3.40 · @3.90
4.16Expected goals
2.23Bubali xG
1.92River Plate xG
60%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
2–27%
1–17%
1–26%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: Bubali 2.2 – 1.9 River Plate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bubali to win✗
52%
1.93
1.65
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
–
Draw no bet
Bubali (draw no bet)
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
River Plate +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
First team to score
Bubali to score first✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Bubali ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bubali / FT Bubali✗
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.33
–
Recent results
Bubali
No recent results on record.
River Plate
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bubali and River Plate.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Bubali vs River Plate?
On our numbers Bubali have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 19% and River Plate 29%.
How many goals will there be in Bubali vs River Plate?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bubali vs River Plate?
Our predicted score is Bubali 2–1 River Plate, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Bubali vs River Plate?
Bubali vs River Plate (Division Di Honor) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
