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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Svay Rieng v Phnom Penh Crown: numbers & prediction

AFC Challenge League · World · Svay Rieng Stadium

Svay Rieng

DWWLW
2–1
FT

Phnom Penh Crown

LLDDW
Svay Rieng 63%Draw 21%Phnom Penh Crown 16% Expected goals 2.32 – 1.13
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultSvay Rieng to win ✓63% · @1.56
Double chanceSvay Rieng or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.36

Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Thursday 12 March: Svay Rieng v Phnom Penh Crown in the AFC Challenge League, played at Svay Rieng Stadium.

Current form

Svay Rieng, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with NagaWorld, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Phnom Penh Crown, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kompong Dewa, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Svay Rieng, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Phnom Penh Crown.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Mar 2026) it ended Phnom Penh Crown 1–4 Svay Rieng.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Svay Rieng 2.3 xG, Phnom Penh Crown 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Svay Rieng 63%, draw 21%, Phnom Penh Crown 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Svay Rieng 2–1 Phnom Penh Crown. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Svay Rieng63%fair 1.60 · @1.56
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @4.10
Phnom Penh Crown16%fair 6.14 · @4.90
3.45Expected goals
2.32Svay Rieng xG
1.13Phnom Penh Crown xG
65%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–17%
1–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Svay Rieng 2.3 – 1.1 Phnom Penh Crown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSvay Rieng to win ✓63%1.601.56
Double chanceSvay Rieng or draw ✓84%1.191.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.541.48
Draw no betSvay Rieng (draw no bet) ✓79%1.26–
Asian handicapSvay Rieng -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.201.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.531.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓56%1.801.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.351.25
First team to scoreSvay Rieng to score first ✗65%1.54–
Half-time resultSvay Rieng ahead at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Svay Rieng / FT Svay Rieng ✗42%2.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.36–

Recent results

Svay Rieng – last 6

DWWLWW
8 Mar@ NagaWorld1–1D
5 Mar@ Phnom Penh Crown4–1W
28 Febvs Kompong Dewa2–0W
25 Feb@ Kirivong Sok Sen Chey1–2L
22 Feb@ Kirivong Sok Sen Chey5–0W
15 Feb@ Kompong Dewa2–1W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Phnom Penh Crown – last 6

LLDDWL
8 Marvs Kompong Dewa1–2L
5 Marvs Svay Rieng1–4L
28 Feb@ Angkor Tiger0–0D
25 Feb@ Dangkor Senchey2–2D
21 Febvs Visakha2–1W
14 Feb@ Angkor Tiger3–4L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Mar 2026Phnom Penh Crown v Svay Rieng1–4
Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown head-to-head page →

More AFC Challenge League predictions

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FT Dewa United2 Manila Digger2 151%1.29X21%4.85228%9.30 1.3–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown?

On our numbers Svay Rieng have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Phnom Penh Crown 16%.

How many goals will there be in Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown?

Our predicted score is Svay Rieng 2–1 Phnom Penh Crown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown?

Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown (AFC Challenge League) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Svay Rieng Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.