Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.17
Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Wednesday 4 March: Wiltz v Progres Niederkorn in the Cup, played at Stade Am Petz.
Current form
Progres Niederkorn, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Union Titus Petange, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wiltz 1.7 xG, Progres Niederkorn 2.4 xG – a total near 4.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wiltz 23%, draw 22%, Progres Niederkorn 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.43, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wiltz 1–2 Progres Niederkorn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wiltz23%fair 4.43 · @4.33
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @4.00
Progres Niederkorn56%fair 1.79 · @1.57
4.06Expected goals
1.68Wiltz xG
2.38Progres Niederkorn xG
60%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
1–37%
2–16%
2–35%
From our goals model: Wiltz 1.7 – 2.4 Progres Niederkorn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Progres Niederkorn to win✓
56%
1.79
1.57
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
–
Draw no bet
Progres Niederkorn (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Wiltz +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
First team to score
Progres Niederkorn to score first✓
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Progres Niederkorn ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Progres Niederkorn / FT Progres Niederkorn✗
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.17
–
Recent results
Wiltz
No recent results on record.
Progres Niederkorn – last 3
WLD
1 Mar
vs Union Titus Petange
4–1
W
22 Feb
@ Victoria Rosport
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Swift Hesperange
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wiltz and Progres Niederkorn.
What is the prediction for Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn?
On our numbers Wiltz have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Progres Niederkorn 56%.
How many goals will there be in Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn?
Our predicted score is Wiltz 1–2 Progres Niederkorn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn?
Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Am Petz.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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