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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Baltika v Zenit: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia · Rostec Arena
0–1
FT
Baltika 21%Draw 26%Zenit 53% Expected goals 0.95 – 1.55
79%
Betarazi pick

Zenit or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.23Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.11 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultZenit to win ✓53% · @1.91
Double chanceZenit or draw ✓79% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.11
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.67

Baltika vs Zenit: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 3 March the Cup brings Baltika against Zenit at Rostec Arena. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.

Current form

Baltika, last 4: LWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Zenit, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended Zenit 1–0 Baltika.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Baltika 0.9 xG, Zenit 1.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Baltika 21%, draw 26%, Zenit 53%.
  • Lower-risk option: Zenit or draw (79%) at 1.23.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.11.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.11 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Zenit or draw (79%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baltika 0–1 Zenit. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Baltika21%fair 4.81 · @3.88
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.44
Zenit53%fair 1.90 · @1.91
2.50Expected goals
0.95Baltika xG
1.55Zenit xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%

From our goals model: Baltika 0.9 – 1.6 Zenit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZenit to win ✓53%1.901.91
Double chanceZenit or draw ✓79%1.261.23
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.872.11 ▲
Draw no betZenit (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapBaltika +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.481.43
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.12
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreZenit to score first ✓57%1.76–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zenit / FT Zenit ✗31%3.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.67–

Recent results

Baltika – last 4

LWDW
27 Feb@ Zenit0–1L
22 Feb@ Krylia Sovetov1–0W
18 Febvs Akhmat2–2D
18 Febvs Kaisar2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Zenit – last 2

WW
27 Febvs Baltika1–0W
17 Feb@ FC Krasnodar1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Feb 2026Zenit v Baltika1–0
Baltika vs Zenit head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Baltika vs Zenit?

Our pick is Zenit or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Baltika vs Zenit?

On our numbers Baltika have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Zenit 53%.

How many goals will there be in Baltika vs Zenit?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Baltika vs Zenit?

Our predicted score is Baltika 0–1 Zenit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Baltika vs Zenit?

Baltika vs Zenit (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Rostec Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.