Arsenal Tula 18%Draw 21%Lokomotiv 61%Expected goals 1.09 – 1.79
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.94 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLokomotiv to win ✓61% · @1.31
Double chanceLokomotiv or draw ✓82% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.20
Arsenal Tula vs Lokomotiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lokomotiv travel to face Arsenal Tula on Thursday 5 March in the Cup, with Stadion Arsenal the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal Tula 1.1 xG, Lokomotiv 1.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal Tula 18%, draw 21%, Lokomotiv 61%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.94.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal Tula 1–1 Lokomotiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arsenal Tula18%fair 5.61 · @9.00
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @5.05
Lokomotiv61%fair 1.64 · @1.31
2.88Expected goals
1.09Arsenal Tula xG
1.79Lokomotiv xG
57%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–06%
2–16%
From our goals model: Arsenal Tula 1.1 – 1.8 Lokomotiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv to win✓
61%
1.64
1.31
Double chance
Lokomotiv or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.94 ▲
Draw no bet
Lokomotiv (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Arsenal Tula +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.64
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.13
First team to score
Lokomotiv to score first
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv / FT Lokomotiv✓
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Arsenal Tula – last 1
D
27 Feb
@ KAMAZ
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv – last 1
W
14 Feb
vs Dinamo Samarqand
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal Tula and Lokomotiv.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Tula vs Lokomotiv?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Arsenal Tula vs Lokomotiv?
On our numbers Arsenal Tula have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lokomotiv 61%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tula vs Lokomotiv?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tula vs Lokomotiv?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Tula 1–1 Lokomotiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Tula vs Lokomotiv?
Arsenal Tula vs Lokomotiv (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Arsenal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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