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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Saprissa v LD Alajuelense: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Costa-Rica
Deportivo Saprissa 41%Draw 28%LD Alajuelense 31% Expected goals 1.36 – 1.13
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.45Odds

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Saprissa to win ✓41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.55

Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportivo Saprissa welcome LD Alajuelense for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 22 February (03:00 WAT). In the table, Deportivo Saprissa are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 16 matches; LD Alajuelense are 4th (among the top four) with 29. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Saprissa 1.4 xG, LD Alajuelense 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Saprissa 41%, draw 28%, LD Alajuelense 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Saprissa 1–1 LD Alajuelense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Saprissa41%fair 2.45 · @2.25
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @2.88
LD Alajuelense31%fair 3.18 · @3.20
2.49Expected goals
1.36Deportivo Saprissa xG
1.13LD Alajuelense xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: Deportivo Saprissa 1.4 – 1.1 LD Alajuelense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Saprissa to win ✓41%2.452.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.381.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.871.93
Draw no betDeportivo Saprissa (draw no bet) ✓56%1.77–
Asian handicapLD Alajuelense +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.481.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.741.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.291.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreDeportivo Saprissa to score first50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Saprissa / FT Deportivo Saprissa ✗24%4.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.55–

Recent results

Deportivo Saprissa – last 1

W
15 Feb@ Municipal Liberia1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

LD Alajuelense – last 1

L
16 Febvs Sporting San Jose1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Saprissa and LD Alajuelense.

Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Saprissa161015+1631
2CS Cartagines161015+1231
3Sporting San Jose16934+730
4LD Alajuelense16853+1229
5San Carlos16826-226
6Inter San Carlos16556-620
7Puntarenas FC16547-619
8CS Herediano16439-515
9Escorpiones Belén164111-1213
10Perez Zeledon16259-1611

More Primera División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense?

On our numbers Deportivo Saprissa have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and LD Alajuelense 31%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Saprissa 1–1 LD Alajuelense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense?

Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.