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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CS Herediano v LD Alajuelense: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Costa-Rica · Estadio Eladio Rosabal Cordero
2–1
FT
CS Herediano 36%Draw 28%LD Alajuelense 36% Expected goals 1.06 – 1.18
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: LD Alajuelense to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultLD Alajuelense to win ✗36% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.71

CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 22 March the Primera División brings CS Herediano against LD Alajuelense at Estadio Eladio Rosabal Cordero. Kick-off: 03:00 WAT. In the table, CS Herediano are 8th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 16 matches; LD Alajuelense are 4th (among the top four) with 29. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

CS Herediano, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Municipal Liberia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

LD Alajuelense, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Los Angeles FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CS Herediano 1.1 xG, LD Alajuelense 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CS Herediano 36%, draw 28%, LD Alajuelense 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: LD Alajuelense to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: CS Herediano 1–1 LD Alajuelense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CS Herediano36%fair 2.81 · @2.25
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @3.10
LD Alajuelense36%fair 2.77 · @3.00
2.24Expected goals
1.06CS Herediano xG
1.18LD Alajuelense xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%

From our goals model: CS Herediano 1.1 – 1.2 LD Alajuelense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLD Alajuelense to win ✗36%2.773.00 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.391.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.80
Draw no betLD Alajuelense (draw no bet) ✗50%1.98–
Asian handicapCS Herediano +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.491.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.711.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreLD Alajuelense to score first47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT LD Alajuelense / FT LD Alajuelense ✗22%4.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.71–

Recent results

CS Herediano – last 6

LLWWLW
15 Marvs Municipal Liberia1–2L
9 Mar@ Deportivo Saprissa1–2L
5 Mar@ Guadalupe FC2–0W
1 Marvs Perez Zeledon3–0W
23 Feb@ San Carlos0–1L
15 Febvs CS Cartagines1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

LD Alajuelense – last 6

LWDWWL
18 Marvs Los Angeles FC1–2L
14 Marvs Perez Zeledon3–0W
11 Mar@ Los Angeles FC1–1D
8 Mar@ San Carlos2–0W
4 Marvs CS Cartagines2–0W
1 Mar@ Puntarenas FC0–2L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between CS Herediano and LD Alajuelense.

CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Saprissa161015+1631
2CS Cartagines161015+1231
3Sporting San Jose16934+730
4LD Alajuelense16853+1229
5San Carlos16826-226
6Inter San Carlos16556-620
7Puntarenas FC16547-619
8CS Herediano16439-515
9Escorpiones Belén164111-1213
10Perez Zeledon16259-1611

More Primera División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense?

On our numbers CS Herediano have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and LD Alajuelense 36%.

How many goals will there be in CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense?

Our predicted score is CS Herediano 1–1 LD Alajuelense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense?

CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Eladio Rosabal Cordero.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.