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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

LD Alajuelense v Deportivo Saprissa: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Costa-Rica · Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto
LD Alajuelense 39%Draw 29%Deportivo Saprissa 32% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.20
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultLD Alajuelense to win ✗39% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.58

LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 20 April the Primera División brings LD Alajuelense against Deportivo Saprissa at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, LD Alajuelense are 4th, among the top four, on 29 points after 16 matches; Deportivo Saprissa are 1st (leading the league) with 31. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

LD Alajuelense, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sporting San Jose, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Deportivo Saprissa, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sporting San Jose, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Deportivo Saprissa 2–1 LD Alajuelense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give LD Alajuelense 1.4 xG, Deportivo Saprissa 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – LD Alajuelense 39%, draw 29%, Deportivo Saprissa 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: LD Alajuelense 1–1 Deportivo Saprissa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

LD Alajuelense39%fair 2.56 · @2.62
Draw29%fair 3.42 · @2.65
Deportivo Saprissa32%fair 3.16 · @2.90
2.58Expected goals
1.38LD Alajuelense xG
1.20Deportivo Saprissa xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%

From our goals model: LD Alajuelense 1.4 – 1.2 Deportivo Saprissa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLD Alajuelense to win ✗39%2.562.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71%1.411.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.67
Draw no betLD Alajuelense (draw no bet)55%1.81–
Asian handicapDeportivo Saprissa +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.891.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreLD Alajuelense to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT LD Alajuelense / FT LD Alajuelense ✗24%4.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.58–

Recent results

LD Alajuelense – last 6

WDLLWD
12 Apr@ Sporting San Jose2–0W
6 Aprvs Guadalupe FC1–1D
22 Mar@ CS Herediano1–2L
18 Marvs Los Angeles FC1–2L
14 Marvs Perez Zeledon3–0W
11 Mar@ Los Angeles FC1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Deportivo Saprissa – last 6

WDWLWL
16 Apr@ Sporting San Jose3–1W
26 Mar@ Municipal Liberia1–1D
23 Mar@ San Carlos3–1W
15 Mar@ CS Cartagines1–2L
9 Marvs CS Herediano2–1W
6 Marvs Sporting San Jose1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Deportivo Saprissa v LD Alajuelense2–1
LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Saprissa161015+1631
2CS Cartagines161015+1231
3Sporting San Jose16934+730
4LD Alajuelense16853+1229
5San Carlos16826-226
6Inter San Carlos16556-620
7Puntarenas FC16547-619
8CS Herediano16439-515
9Escorpiones Belén164111-1213
10Perez Zeledon16259-1611

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?

On our numbers LD Alajuelense have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Deportivo Saprissa 32%.

How many goals will there be in LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Our predicted score is LD Alajuelense 1–1 Deportivo Saprissa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?

LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.