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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

LD Alajuelense v Puntarenas FC: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Costa-Rica · Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto
5–2
FT
LD Alajuelense 62%Draw 22%Puntarenas FC 16% Expected goals 1.79 – 0.77
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultLD Alajuelense to win ✓62% · @1.45
Double chanceLD Alajuelense or draw ✓84% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48

LD Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 24 April the Primera División brings LD Alajuelense against Puntarenas FC at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto. Kick-off: 03:00 WAT. In the table, LD Alajuelense are 4th, among the top four, on 29 points after 16 matches; Puntarenas FC are 7th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

LD Alajuelense, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Saprissa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Puntarenas FC, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sporting San Jose, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours LD Alajuelense, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Puntarenas FC.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Puntarenas FC 2–0 LD Alajuelense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give LD Alajuelense 1.8 xG, Puntarenas FC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – LD Alajuelense 62%, draw 22%, Puntarenas FC 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: LD Alajuelense 1–0 Puntarenas FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

LD Alajuelense62%fair 1.62 · @1.45
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.75
Puntarenas FC16%fair 6.31 · @6.60
2.56Expected goals
1.79LD Alajuelense xG
0.77Puntarenas FC xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: LD Alajuelense 1.8 – 0.8 Puntarenas FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLD Alajuelense to win ✓62%1.621.45
Double chanceLD Alajuelense or draw ✓84%1.191.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.832.00 ▲
Draw no betLD Alajuelense (draw no bet) ✓80%1.26–
Asian handicapLD Alajuelense -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.361.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗88%1.13–
First team to scoreLD Alajuelense to score first65%1.55–
Half-time resultLD Alajuelense ahead at half-time ✓44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT LD Alajuelense / FT LD Alajuelense ✓39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.48–

Recent results

LD Alajuelense – last 6

DWDLLW
20 Aprvs Deportivo Saprissa1–1D
12 Apr@ Sporting San Jose2–0W
6 Aprvs Guadalupe FC1–1D
22 Mar@ CS Herediano1–2L
18 Marvs Los Angeles FC1–2L
14 Marvs Perez Zeledon3–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Puntarenas FC – last 6

LDLDLL
19 Aprvs Sporting San Jose1–2L
12 Apr@ Perez Zeledon3–3D
6 Aprvs CS Herediano0–1L
25 Mar@ Sporting San Jose1–1D
21 Marvs Municipal Liberia0–1L
8 Mar@ CS Cartagines2–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Puntarenas FC v LD Alajuelense2–0
LD Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Saprissa161015+1631
2CS Cartagines161015+1231
3Sporting San Jose16934+730
4LD Alajuelense16853+1229
5San Carlos16826-226
6Inter San Carlos16556-620
7Puntarenas FC16547-619
8CS Herediano16439-515
9Escorpiones Belén164111-1213
10Perez Zeledon16259-1611

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for LD Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win LD Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC?

On our numbers LD Alajuelense have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Puntarenas FC 16%.

How many goals will there be in LD Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for LD Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC?

Our predicted score is LD Alajuelense 1–0 Puntarenas FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is LD Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC?

LD Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.