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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Saprissa v Guadalupe FC: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Costa-Rica
5–0
FT
Deportivo Saprissa 73%Draw 17%Guadalupe FC 10% Expected goals 2.27 – 0.76
61%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Saprissa to win ✓73% · @1.15
Double chanceDeportivo Saprissa or draw ✓90% · fair 1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58

Deportivo Saprissa vs Guadalupe FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 23 April the Primera División brings Deportivo Saprissa against Guadalupe FC. Kick-off: 03:30 WAT.

Current form

Deportivo Saprissa, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with LD Alajuelense, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Guadalupe FC, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to San Carlos, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Deportivo Saprissa, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Guadalupe FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Saprissa 2.3 xG, Guadalupe FC 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Saprissa 73%, draw 17%, Guadalupe FC 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Saprissa 2–0 Guadalupe FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Saprissa73%fair 1.37 · @1.15
Draw17%fair 5.72 · @6.00
Guadalupe FC10%fair 10.28 · @15.00
3.03Expected goals
2.27Deportivo Saprissa xG
0.76Guadalupe FC xG
55%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Deportivo Saprissa 2.3 – 0.8 Guadalupe FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Saprissa to win ✓73%1.371.15
Double chanceDeportivo Saprissa or draw ✓90%1.11–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.832.10 ▲
Draw no betDeportivo Saprissa (draw no bet) ✓88%1.13–
Asian handicapDeportivo Saprissa -1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.651.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.651.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.291.25
First team to scoreDeportivo Saprissa to score first ✓71%1.40–
Half-time resultDeportivo Saprissa ahead at half-time ✓52%1.93–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Saprissa / FT Deportivo Saprissa ✓48%2.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.58–

Recent results

Deportivo Saprissa – last 6

DWDWLW
20 Apr@ LD Alajuelense1–1D
16 Apr@ Sporting San Jose3–1W
26 Mar@ Municipal Liberia1–1D
23 Mar@ San Carlos3–1W
15 Mar@ CS Cartagines1–2L
9 Marvs CS Herediano2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Guadalupe FC – last 6

LDDLLD
13 Apr@ San Carlos0–4L
6 Apr@ LD Alajuelense1–1D
21 Marvs Sporting San Jose0–0D
10 Mar@ Municipal Liberia0–1L
5 Marvs CS Herediano0–2L
22 Feb@ Perez Zeledon1–1D
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Saprissa and Guadalupe FC.

Deportivo Saprissa vs Guadalupe FC head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Saprissa161015+1631
2CS Cartagines161015+1231
3Sporting San Jose16934+730
4LD Alajuelense16853+1229
5San Carlos16826-226
6Inter San Carlos16556-620
7Puntarenas FC16547-619
8CS Herediano16439-515
9Escorpiones Belén164111-1213
10Perez Zeledon16259-1611

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Saprissa vs Guadalupe FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Deportivo Saprissa vs Guadalupe FC?

On our numbers Deportivo Saprissa have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Guadalupe FC 10%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Saprissa vs Guadalupe FC?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Saprissa vs Guadalupe FC?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Saprissa 2–0 Guadalupe FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Saprissa vs Guadalupe FC?

Deportivo Saprissa vs Guadalupe FC (Primera División) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.